SPAIN LA LIGA
17.05.2026 17:00
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Referee: J. Alberola
Levante
Match Timeline
Mallorca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
J. Toljan ↔ N. Perez
Levante
🟨
30'
Nacho Pérez
Levante
32'
C. Espi
Levante
🔄
46'
D. Lopez ↔ J. Olaizola
Mallorca
🔄
61'
P. Torre ↔ J. Virgili
Mallorca
🔄
65'
I. Losada ↔ R. Brugue
Levante
🔄
69'
Z. Luvumbo ↔ T. Asano
Mallorca
🔄
69'
M. Valjent ↔ M. Calatayud
Mallorca
🟨
78'
Mathew Ryan
Levante
🔄
79'
M. Morlanes ↔ A. Prats
Mallorca
🟥
85'
Roger Brugué
Levante
VAR
85'
Roger Brugué
Levante
🟥
85'
Johan Mojica
Mallorca
VAR
85'
Johan Mojica
Mallorca
87'
K. Arriaga · Assist: J. A. Olasagasti
Levante
🔄
90+2'
J. A. Olasagasti ↔ U. Raghouber
Levante
🔄
90+2'
I. Romero ↔ K. Tunde
Levante
🔄
90+2'
C. Espi ↔ K. Etta Eyong
Levante

Levante vs Mallorca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Levante Win 71.8%
Draw 0%
Mallorca Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levante1.35
Mallorca1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levante Levante
WWDLW
49 GF / 63 GA
Mallorca Mallorca
WLDWL
49 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
19
BTTS Yes
25
17
Over 2.5
24
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levante Levante 39 matches
Mallorca Mallorca 39 matches
Levante Statistic Mallorca
12 Wins 12
9 Draws 9
18 Losses 18
49 Goals For 49
63 Goals Against 58
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
19 BTTS Yes 25
32 Over 1.5 32
17 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 9
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.11
12.18 Total Shots 10.74
4.15 Corners 3.61
42.4% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mallorca. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levante expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Mallorca in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mallorca having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Levante Analysis

Levante sit 19 with 36 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 41:57, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Espi (9 goals), I. Romero (7 goals), Adrián de la Fuente (3 goals), with creative support from Pablo Martínez (4 assists), J. Toljan (3 assists), J. A. Olasagasti (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mallorca Analysis

Mallorca sit 15 with 39 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats with a 43:52 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vedat Muriqi (22 goals), Samú Costa (7 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), J. Mojica (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levante won 6 times, Mallorca won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Levante's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Levante 4-1-4-1 / Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Levante 3, Mallorca 5
H2H summary: Levante wins 6, draws 5, Mallorca wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2