Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.25
Toluca1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
46 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
15
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leon
22 matches
Toluca
24 matches
| Leon | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 30 | Goals For | 46 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 3 times, Toluca won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:27 from Leon's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 3, draws 7, Toluca wins 4
Last matches: Leon
22.08.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
18.08.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Leon vs Toluca
26.04.26
H2H
Toluca
Leon
4
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
09.02.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
3
3
D
02.11.24
H2H
Toluca
Leon
2
2
D
03.02.24
H2H
Toluca
Leon
4
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Leon
Toluca
1
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
Toluca
Leon
0
0
D
27.07.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
0
1
L
02.05.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
4
D
31.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Leon
0
0
D
10.05.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
2
D
05.04.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
1
W
08.11.20
H2H
Toluca
Leon
2
2
D
19.04.20
H2H
Toluca
Leon
0
0
D
10.11.19
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
0
W
Last matches: Leon
22.08.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
1
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
05.10.25
Lig
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
3
0
W
H2H at home: Leon
05.10.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
4
L
09.02.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
3
3
D
21.10.23
H2H
Leon
Toluca
1
0
W
27.07.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
0
1
L
02.05.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
4
D
10.05.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
2
D
05.04.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
1
W
10.11.19
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
05.10.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
4
W
09.02.25
H2H
Leon
Toluca
3
3
D
21.10.23
H2H
Leon
Toluca
1
0
L
27.07.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
0
1
W
02.05.22
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
4
D
10.05.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
2
D
05.04.21
H2H
Leon
Toluca
2
1
L
10.11.19
H2H
Leon
Toluca
4
0
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Leon
Home
|
17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs