SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Referee: M. H. De Aza
Leganes
Match Timeline
Racing Santander
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Amadou Diawara
Leganes
26'
M. Gueye · Assist: G. Guliashvili
Racing Santander
🟨
36'
Gustavo Puerta
Racing Santander
🟨
45+1'
Duk
Leganes
🟨
52'
Iñigo Vicente
Racing Santander
🟨
55'
Juan Soriano
Leganes
🔄
55'
A. Diawara ↔ C. Guirao
Leganes
🔄
67'
A. Martin ↔ M. Sangalli
Racing Santander
🔄
67'
G. Guliashvili ↔ A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
🔄
70'
D. Rodriguez ↔ O. Plano
Leganes
🔄
70'
D. Garcia ↔ A. Millan
Leganes
🟨
77'
Seydouba Cisse
Leganes
🔄
79'
G. Aguilar Lopez ↔ R. Pulido
Leganes
🔄
79'
S. Cisse ↔ L. Asue
Leganes
VAR
87'
Asier Villalibre
Racing Santander
88'
A. Villalibre
Racing Santander
🟨
90+8'
Álex Millán
Leganes
🟨
90+3'
Marvel
Leganes
🔄
90+2'
P. Canales ↔ J. Mata
Racing Santander
🔄
90+1'
P. Ramon ↔ J. Castro
Racing Santander
🔄
90+1'
G. Puerta ↔ D. Rodriguez
Racing Santander
90'
L. Asue
Leganes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leganes Win 29.4%
Draw 14%
Racing Santander Win 56.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leganes1.27
Racing Santander1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leganes Leganes
WWDLW
46 GF / 49 GA
Racing Santander Racing Santander
WLDWL
87 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
21
BTTS Yes
29
19
Over 2.5
30
3.97
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leganes Leganes 40 matches
Racing Santander Racing Santander 42 matches
Leganes Statistic Racing Santander
11 Wins 25
12 Draws 6
17 Losses 11
46 Goals For 87
49 Goals Against 61
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
21 BTTS Yes 29
29 Over 1.5 36
19 Over 2.5 30
7 Over 3.5 22
11 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 5
3.97 Shots On Goal 5.4
11.74 Total Shots 13.02
4.56 Corners 5.31
50.1% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Racing Santander's more proactive style and Leganes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Racing Santander. Leganes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Racing Santander carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 72 points while Leganes sit 16 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Leganes Analysis

With 42 points from 38 games and a place of 16, Leganes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 41:46, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. de la Fuente (6 goals), Álex Millán (6 goals), D. Garcia (5 goals), with creative support from Duk (5 assists), M. de la Fuente (4 assists), D. Rodriguez (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Santander Analysis

Racing Santander come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 72 points after 38 matches. The return of 22 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 79:57, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Martin (20 goals), A. Villalibre (14 goals), I. Vicente (8 goals), with creative support from I. Vicente (18 assists), A. Martin (9 assists), P. Canales (8 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Leganes won 1 times, Racing Santander won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Leganes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Leganes 4-2-3-1 / Racing Santander 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leganes wins 1, draws 2, Racing Santander wins 3
Stats
Leganes Leganes
Racing Santander Racing Santander
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 22
2 Offsides 1
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
389 Total passes 282
310 Passes accurate 196
1.72 expected_goals 1.70
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Leganes
Formation
Racing Santander
J. Soriano
J. Soriano
G. Aguilar Lopez
G. Aguilar Lopez
I. Miquel
I. Miquel
Marvel
Marvel
N. Garcia
N. Garcia
Duk
Duk
A. Diawara
A. Diawara
S. Cisse
S. Cisse
J. Cruz
J. Cruz
D. Rodriguez
D. Rodriguez
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
S. Eriksson
S. Eriksson
A. Mantilla
A. Mantilla
Manu
Manu
P. Ramon
P. Ramon
J. Salinas
J. Salinas
M. Gueye
M. Gueye
G. Puerta
G. Puerta
A. Martin
A. Martin
P. Canales
P. Canales
I. Vicente
I. Vicente
G. Guliashvili
🎯
G. Guliashvili
Leganes 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Soriano
🟨 55'
G
6
G. Aguilar Lopez
↓ 79'
D
5
I. Miquel
D
2
Marvel
🟨 90+3'
D
17
N. Garcia
D
11
Duk
🟨 45+1'
M
24
A. Diawara
↓ 55' 🟨 20'
M
8
S. Cisse
↓ 79' 🟨 77'
M
10
J. Cruz
M
9
D. Rodriguez
↓ 70'
F
19
D. Garcia
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Garrido
G
13
M. San Roman
G
20
O. Plano
↑ 70'
F
7
R. Pena
D
23
A. Millan
↑ 70' 🟨 90+8'
F
4
R. Pulido
↑ 79'
D
21
A. Campos
F
12
L. Asue
⚽ 90' ↑ 79'
F
22
S. Figueredo
D
26
C. Guirao
↑ 55'
M
48
G. Rodriguez
M
Racing Santander 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
S. Eriksson
G
2
A. Mantilla
D
4
Manu
D
21
P. Ramon
↓ 90+1'
D
32
J. Salinas
D
14
M. Gueye
⚽ 26'
M
19
G. Puerta
↓ 90+1' 🟨 36'
M
11
A. Martin
↓ 67'
M
18
P. Canales
↓ 90+2'
M
10
I. Vicente
🟨 52'
M
7
G. Guliashvili
🎯 26' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ezkieta
G
17
J. Mata
↑ 90+2'
F
15
M. Sangalli
↑ 67'
F
12
A. Villalibre
⚽ 88' ↑ 67'
F
5
J. Castro
↑ 90+1'
D
20
S. Camara
F
23
D. Rodriguez
↑ 90+1'
M
3
M. Garcia
D
9
J. Arana
F
6
I. Sainz-Maza
M
8
A. Aldasoro
M
44
Chino
M
Last matches: Leganes
24.07.26
Fri
Leganes
Penafiel
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Leganes
Nacional
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Leganes
Albacete
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Leganes
Levante
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Mirandes
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Cadiz
0
3
L
18.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Huesca
0
0
D
01.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Leganes
FC Andorra
0
4
L
17.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Las Palmas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Albacete
2
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Almeria
1
2
L
02.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Zaragoza
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Leganes
Malaga
0
0
D
21.03.26
Seg
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
5
2
W
14.03.26
Seg
Leganes
Valladolid
2
3
L
08.03.26
Seg
Leganes
Eibar
0
1
L
02.03.26
Seg
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
21.02.26
Seg
Leganes
Cultural Leonesa
1
1
D
14.02.26
Seg
Leganes
Cordoba
1
2
L
Last matches: Racing Santander
24.07.26
Fri
Racing Santander
Osasuna
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
31.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cadiz
4
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Malaga
1
1
D
16.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Valladolid
4
1
W
03.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Huesca
4
2
W
26.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
0
0
D
17.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad II
3
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Almeria
5
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
FC Andorra
2
6
L
01.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijon
3
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Zaragoza
0
2
L
21.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Albacete
0
4
L
14.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cultural Leonesa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cordoba
4
3
W
28.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Castellón
3
1
W
22.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Burgos
1
0
W
15.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Eibar
1
2
L
09.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Mirandes
1
0
W
01.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Granada CF
0
1
L
H2H: Leganes vs Racing Santander
10.05.26
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
1
2
L
13.12.25
H2H
Racing Santander
Leganes
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Racing Santander
Leganes
2
1
L
29.09.23
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
2
1
W
13.02.23
H2H
Racing Santander
Leganes
2
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
0
0
D
Last matches: Leganes
17.07.26
Fri
Leganes
Albacete
0
0
D
31.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Mirandes
1
0
W
18.05.26
Seg
Leganes
Huesca
0
0
D
26.04.26
Seg
Leganes
FC Andorra
0
4
L
11.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Albacete
2
1
W
02.04.26
Seg
Leganes
Zaragoza
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Leganes
AD Ceuta FC
5
2
W
08.03.26
Seg
Leganes
Eibar
0
1
L
21.02.26
Seg
Leganes
Cultural Leonesa
1
1
D
06.02.26
Seg
Leganes
Granada CF
1
0
W
24.01.26
Seg
Leganes
Real Sociedad II
2
0
W
11.01.26
Seg
Leganes
Valladolid
3
0
W
20.12.25
Seg
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
0
1
L
07.12.25
Seg
Leganes
Cordoba
0
0
D
04.12.25
Cop
Leganes
Albacete
1
2
L
22.11.25
Seg
Leganes
Almeria
0
3
L
01.11.25
Seg
Leganes
Burgos
1
2
L
19.10.25
Seg
Leganes
Malaga
2
0
W
29.09.25
Seg
Leganes
Castellón
0
1
L
20.09.25
Seg
Leganes
Las Palmas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Leganes
10.05.26
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
1
2
L
29.09.23
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
2
1
W
29.10.22
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
0
0
D
Last matches: Racing Santander
24.07.26
Fri
Racing Santander
Osasuna
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Malaga
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
AD Ceuta FC
0
0
D
17.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad II
3
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Racing Santander
FC Andorra
2
6
L
29.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Zaragoza
0
2
L
14.03.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Cultural Leonesa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Castellón
3
1
W
15.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Eibar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Granada CF
0
1
L
25.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
03.01.26
Seg
Racing Santander
Valladolid
1
1
D
20.12.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Huesca
1
1
D
07.12.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Cadiz
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
Racing Santander
Ponferradina
2
1
W
23.11.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Burgos
2
0
W
09.11.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
1
3
L
28.10.25
Cop
Racing Santander
SD Logroñés
4
0
W
25.10.25
Seg
Racing Santander
Mirandes
3
1
W
H2H away: Racing Santander
10.05.26
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
1
2
W
29.09.23
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
2
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Leganes
Racing Santander
0
0
D

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation