Leeds vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Leeds
Brighton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leeds
41 matches
Brighton
38 matches
| Leeds | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 15 |
| 16 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 57 | Goals For | 54 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.34 | Shots On Goal | 4.55 |
| 13.29 | Total Shots | 12.97 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Brighton's more proactive style and Leeds's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brighton. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leeds expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Brighton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brighton having the stronger overall control.
Leeds approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 44 points from 36 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 48:53, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Calvert-Lewin (13 goals), Noah Okafor (8 goals), L. Nmecha (6 goals), with creative support from Brenden Aaronson (5 assists), Anton Stach (3 assists), Ilia Gruev (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Brighton have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 53 points from 36 matches. The record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 52:42 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Welbeck (13 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), J. Hinshelwood (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), Georginio Rutter (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leeds won 2 times, Brighton won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:23 from Leeds's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Home
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|