Lecce
Match Timeline
AC Milan
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce0.85
AC Milan1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce
WWDLW
18 GF / 43 GA
AC Milan
WLDWL
39 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
15
3.26
Shots on Goal
5.37
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lecce
27 matches
AC Milan
27 matches
| Lecce | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 39 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 11.52 | Total Shots | 15.22 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 44.7% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 0 times, AC Milan won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:38 from Lecce's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Lecce wins 0, draws 4, AC Milan wins 11
Stats
Lecce
AC Milan
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
1
1
Last matches: Lecce
23.08.26
Ser
Lecce
Venezia
2
0
W
17.08.26
Cop
Lecce
Palermo
0
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
Last matches: AC Milan
23.08.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
2
1
W
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
H2H: Lecce vs AC Milan
18.01.26
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
29.08.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
3
L
27.09.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
23.04.23
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
L
14.01.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
22.06.20
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
4
L
20.10.19
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
2
D
11.03.12
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
2
0
L
23.10.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
3
4
L
16.01.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
1
D
29.08.10
H2H
AC Milan
Lecce
4
0
L
Last matches: Lecce
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
2
L
06.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
2
L
27.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Como
0
3
L
12.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Torino
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
28.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
0
1
L
18.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Lecce
29.08.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
3
L
11.11.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
14.01.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
22.06.20
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
4
L
23.10.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
3
4
L
16.01.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Milan
23.08.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
2
1
W
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
0
W
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
H2H away: AC Milan
29.08.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
0
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
3
W
11.11.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
14.01.23
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
2
2
D
22.06.20
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
4
W
23.10.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
3
4
W
16.01.11
H2H
Lecce
AC Milan
1
1
D
Standings
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | : | 32 | 82 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | : | 44 | 81 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | : | 41 | 74 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | : | 23 | 70 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | : | 21 | 69 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | : | 19 | 65 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | : | 12 | 65 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
AC Milan
Away
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | : | 18 | 63 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | : | 10 | 62 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | : | -3 | 49 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | : | -6 | 44 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | : | -15 | 44 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | : | -12 | 43 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | : | -32 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | : | -16 | 36 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | : | -14 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Home
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | : | -31 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | : | -26 | 31 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | : | -24 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | : | -41 | 18 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
