ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: R. Abisso
Lazio
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
L. Martinez · Assist: M. Thuram
Inter
39'
P. Sucic · Assist: L. Martinez
Inter
🔄
46'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter
🔄
46'
M. Thuram ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
🟨
48'
Luca Pellegrini
Lazio
🔄
56'
N. Rovella ↔ Patric
Lazio
🔄
56'
M. Cancellieri ↔ G. Isaksen
Lazio
🔄
56'
M. Gila ↔ O. Provstgaard
Lazio
VAR
58'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio
🟥
59'
Alessio Romagnoli
Lazio
🔄
62'
Pedro ↔ B. Dia
Lazio
🔄
63'
L. Martinez ↔ D. Dumfries
Inter
🔄
63'
A. Bastoni ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🟨
74'
Tijjani Noslin
Lazio
76'
H. Mkhitaryan · Assist: A. Bonny
Inter
🔄
77'
A. Marusic ↔ M. Lazzari
Lazio
🔄
80'
P. Sucic ↔ M. Mosconi
Inter
🟨
85'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Inter

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 42.8%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio1.06
Inter1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
44 GF / 38 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
110 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
25
11
Over 2.5
29
3.82
Shots on Goal
5.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 39 matches
Inter Inter 50 matches
Lazio Statistic Inter
14 Wins 34
15 Draws 6
10 Losses 10
44 Goals For 110
38 Goals Against 48
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
13 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 42
11 Over 2.5 29
7 Over 3.5 18
16 Clean Sheets 22
15 Failed To Score 4
3.82 Shots On Goal 5.9
10.69 Total Shots 17.12
3.69 Corners 6.2
49.9% Ball Possession 58.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 82 points while Lazio sit 8 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lazio expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Inter in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter having the stronger overall control. Inter look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lazio Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Lazio have collected 51 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 39:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Isaksen (5 goals), M. Cancellieri (4 goals), Pedro (4 goals), with creative support from Danilo Cataldi (3 assists), T. Basic (3 assists), Valentín Castellanos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Inter Analysis

Inter come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 82 points after 35 matches. They have recorded 26 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 82:31 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on L. Martinez (16 goals), M. Thuram (13 goals), H. Calhanoglu (9 goals), with creative support from F. Dimarco (17 assists), N. Barella (7 assists), L. Martinez (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 2 times, Inter won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:34 from Lazio's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / Inter 3-5-2
Missing players: Lazio 3, Inter 3
H2H summary: Lazio wins 2, draws 3, Inter wins 10
Stats
Lazio Lazio
Inter Inter
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
450 Total passes 640
404 Passes accurate 593
0.63 expected_goals 1.23
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lazio
Formation
Inter
E. Motta
E. Motta
A. Marusic
A. Marusic
M. Gila
M. Gila
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
L. Pellegrini
L. Pellegrini
F. Dele-Bashiru
F. Dele-Bashiru
N. Rovella
N. Rovella
T. Basic
T. Basic
M. Cancellieri
M. Cancellieri
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
Pedro
Pedro
J. Martinez
J. Martinez
Y. Bisseck
Y. Bisseck
F. Acerbi
F. Acerbi
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
A. Diouf
A. Diouf
N. Barella
N. Barella
P. Sucic
P. Sucic
H. Mkhitaryan
H. Mkhitaryan
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
M. Thuram
🎯
M. Thuram
L. Martinez
🎯
L. Martinez
Lazio 4-3-3
Starting XI
40
E. Motta
G
77
A. Marusic
↓ 77'
D
34
M. Gila
↓ 56'
D
13
A. Romagnoli
🟥 59'
D
3
L. Pellegrini
🟨 48'
D
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
M
6
N. Rovella
↓ 56'
M
26
T. Basic
M
22
M. Cancellieri
↓ 56'
F
14
T. Noslin
🟨 74'
F
9
Pedro
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
55
A. Furlanetto
G
99
G. Giacomone
G
23
E. Hysaj
D
29
M. Lazzari
↑ 77'
M
24
K. Taylor
M
4
Patric
↑ 56'
D
2
S. Gigot
D
18
G. Isaksen
↑ 56'
F
17
N. Tavares
D
19
B. Dia
↑ 62'
F
27
D. Maldini
F
25
O. Provstgaard
↑ 56'
D
20
P. Ratkov
F
21
R. Belahyane
M
28
A. Przyborek
M
Inter 3-5-2
Starting XI
13
J. Martinez
G
31
Y. Bisseck
D
15
F. Acerbi
D
95
A. Bastoni
↓ 63'
D
17
A. Diouf
M
23
N. Barella
↓ 46'
M
8
P. Sucic
⚽ 39' ↓ 80'
M
22
H. Mkhitaryan
⚽ 76' 🟨 85'
M
30
Carlos Augusto
M
9
M. Thuram
🎯 6' ↓ 46'
F
10
L. Martinez
⚽ 6' 🎯 39' ↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Sommer
G
12
R. Di Gennaro
G
7
P. Zielinski
M
36
M. Darmian
D
6
S. de Vrij
D
2
D. Dumfries
↑ 63'
D
16
D. Frattesi
↑ 46'
M
43
M. Cocchi
D
48
M. Mosconi
↑ 80'
F
32
F. Dimarco
D
25
M. Akanji
D
11
Luis Henrique
↑ 63'
F
14
A. Bonny
🎯 76' ↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Lazio
23.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
2
1
W
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
0
0
D
14.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
2
L
11.02.26
Cop
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
2
2
D
30.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
2
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
0
0
D
Last matches: Inter
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
14.02.26
Ser
Inter
Juventus
3
2
W
08.02.26
Ser
Inter
Sassuolo
5
0
W
04.02.26
Cop
Inter
Torino
2
1
W
H2H: Lazio vs Inter
13.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
09.11.25
H2H
Inter
Lazio
2
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Inter
Lazio
2
2
D
25.02.25
H2H
Inter
Lazio
2
0
L
16.12.24
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
6
L
19.05.24
H2H
Inter
Lazio
1
1
D
19.01.24
H2H
Inter
Lazio
3
0
L
17.12.23
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Inter
Lazio
3
1
L
26.08.22
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
W
09.01.22
H2H
Inter
Lazio
2
1
L
16.10.21
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Inter
Lazio
3
1
L
04.10.20
H2H
Lazio
Inter
1
1
D
Last matches: Lazio
23.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
14.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
2
L
30.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
2
W
19.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Como
0
3
L
07.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Cremonese
0
0
D
07.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
04.12.25
Cop
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
2
0
W
03.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
2
0
W
26.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
1
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Torino
3
3
D
21.09.25
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Lazio
13.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
16.12.24
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
6
L
17.12.23
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
26.08.22
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
W
16.10.21
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
W
04.10.20
H2H
Lazio
Inter
1
1
D
Last matches: Inter
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Inter
Sassuolo
5
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Inter
Cremonese
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Inter
Udinese
1
0
W
07.01.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
0
W
19.12.25
Sup
Inter
Bologna
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
1
W
30.11.25
Ser
Inter
Pisa
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Inter
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
02.11.25
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
H2H away: Inter
13.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
W
09.05.26
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
3
W
16.12.24
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
6
W
17.12.23
H2H
Lazio
Inter
0
2
W
26.08.22
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
L
16.10.21
H2H
Lazio
Inter
3
1
L
04.10.20
H2H
Lazio
Inter
1
1
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Home
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Lazio 3 missing
-
S. Gigot
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
I. Provedel
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
D. Cataldi
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
Inter 3 missing
-
H. Calhanoglu
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
F. Esposito
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
Luis Henrique
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT