ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 46.2%
Draw 14.8%
Tammeka Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.54
Tammeka1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
52 GF / 50 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
18
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 32 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 29 matches
Laagri Statistic Tammeka
14 Wins 15
3 Draws 3
15 Losses 11
52 Goals For 42
50 Goals Against 41
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
18 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 19
22 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tammeka. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Laagri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 31 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 1 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 36:41 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 35 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 27:32 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 3 times, Tammeka won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Laagri's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Laagri 4-2-3-1 / Tammeka -
H2H summary: Laagri wins 3, draws 1, Tammeka wins 7

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 5 1 64:20 44 59
W W W W D
2 25 13 5 7 45:22 23 44
L L W W W
3 24 14 0 10 46:30 16 42
L L W L W
4 24 12 6 6 40:31 9 42
W W D W L
5 23 12 2 9 29:32 -3 38
W W W W L
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 25 5 2 18 18:57 -39 17
L L D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga