BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Achter de Kazerne
Referee: E. Lambrechts
KV Mechelen
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Tommy St. Jago
KV Mechelen
🔄
21'
M. Stroeykens ↔ Y. Verschaeren
Anderlecht
🟨
22'
Ali Maamar
Anderlecht
🔄
33'
B. Raman ↔ B. Antonio
KV Mechelen
🟨
39'
Coba da Costa
Anderlecht
🟨
41'
Bill Antonio
KV Mechelen
🟨
44'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Anderlecht
🟨
45+1'
Enric Llansana
Anderlecht
45'
B. Boersma
KV Mechelen
🔄
46'
M. Kana ↔ K. Sardella
Anderlecht
🔄
60'
C. da Costa ↔ A. Bertaccini
Anderlecht
🔄
61'
T. Hazard ↔ M. Cvetkovic
Anderlecht
62'
M. Cvetkovic
Anderlecht
🟨
70'
Kerim Mrabti
KV Mechelen
71'
A. Bertaccini · Assist: L. Augustinsson
Anderlecht
🟨
73'
Moussa Diarra
Anderlecht
🔄
76'
T. St. Jago ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
🟨
83'
Mihajlo Cvetković
Anderlecht
🔄
88'
K. Mrabti ↔ M. Konate
KV Mechelen
🟨
90+1'
José Marsà
KV Mechelen
🔄
90'
↔ L. Hey
Anderlecht

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
KV Mechelen Win 53.3%
Draw 10.1%
Anderlecht Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
KV Mechelen1.28
Anderlecht1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WLDWL
55 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
20
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
17
3.72
Shots on Goal
4.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 32 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 38 matches
KV Mechelen Statistic Anderlecht
12 Wins 15
10 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
40 Goals For 55
39 Goals Against 50
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
20 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 27
12 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 10
3.72 Shots On Goal 4.68
9.81 Total Shots 13.71
4.69 Corners 5.55
50.1% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Anderlecht. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KV Mechelen expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Anderlecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Anderlecht having the stronger overall control.

KV Mechelen Analysis

KV Mechelen approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 45 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 39:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. van Brederode (7 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (7 assists), Rob Schoofs (4 assists), Mathis Servais (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 43:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (6 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KV Mechelen won 3 times, Anderlecht won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:35 from KV Mechelen's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: KV Mechelen 3-4-3 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: KV Mechelen wins 3, draws 4, Anderlecht wins 8
Stats
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 4
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 5
15 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
374 Total passes 436
290 Passes accurate 337
1.47 expected_goals 1.17
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

KV Mechelen
Formation
Anderlecht
N. Miras
N. Miras
T. St. Jago
T. St. Jago
R. Halhal
R. Halhal
J. Marsa
J. Marsa
T. Koudou
T. Koudou
F. Hammar
F. Hammar
K. Mrabti
K. Mrabti
M. Servais
M. Servais
M. van Brederode
M. van Brederode
B. Raman
B. Raman
B. Boersma
B. Boersma
C. Coosemans
C. Coosemans
A. Maamar
A. Maamar
M. Kana
M. Kana
M. Diarra
M. Diarra
L. Augustinsson
🎯
L. Augustinsson
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
E. Llansana
E. Llansana
T. Degreef
T. Degreef
M. Stroeykens
M. Stroeykens
C. da Costa
C. da Costa
T. Hazard
T. Hazard
KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
13
N. Miras
G
33
T. St. Jago
↓ 76' 🟨 14'
D
2
R. Halhal
D
3
J. Marsa
🟨 90+1'
D
7
T. Koudou
M
6
F. Hammar
M
19
K. Mrabti
↓ 88' 🟨 70'
M
17
M. Servais
M
9
M. van Brederode
F
14
B. Raman
↓ 33'
F
28
B. Boersma
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
1
O. De Wolf
G
12
H. Bande
F
8
M. Konate
↑ 88'
M
27
K. Vanrafelghem
F
38
B. Antonio
↑ 33' 🟨 41'
F
10
M. Kireev
↑ 76'
M
39
M. Decoene
M
11
B. Bafdili
M
4
G. Diouf
D
Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
C. Coosemans
G
79
A. Maamar
🟨 22'
D
55
M. Kana
↓ 46'
D
93
M. Diarra
🟨 73'
D
6
L. Augustinsson
🎯 71'
D
13
N. Saliba
🟨 44'
M
24
E. Llansana
🟨 45+1'
M
83
T. Degreef
M
29
M. Stroeykens
↓ 21'
M
77
C. da Costa
↓ 60' 🟨 39'
M
11
T. Hazard
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
32
J. Heekeren
G
10
Y. Verschaeren
↑ 21'
M
54
K. Sardella
↑ 46'
D
61
K. Nga
M
23
M. Rits
M
91
A. Bertaccini
⚽ 71' ↑ 60'
F
3
L. Hey
↑ 90'
D
9
M. Cvetkovic
⚽ 62' ↑ 61'
7
I. Camara
D
Last matches: KV Mechelen
18.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Heist
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
3
0
W
24.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
3
L
21.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
17.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
L
03.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
0
W
26.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
4
L
22.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
6
L
12.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
06.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
3
L
28.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
2
1
W
22.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
2
0
W
13.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Genk
2
3
L
08.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
2
0
W
Last matches: Anderlecht
23.07.26
UEF
Anderlecht
Hammarby FF
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Anderlecht
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Anderlecht
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Anderlecht
Dunkerque
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Anderlecht
Boulogne
0
0
D
24.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
3
1
W
17.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
1
3
L
26.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
3
1
W
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
22.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
2
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
28.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
5
1
W
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
15.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
H2H: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
17.05.26
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
18.04.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
2
L
15.03.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
3
1
L
26.01.25
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
4
1
L
17.08.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
01.02.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
07.10.23
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
3
1
L
23.04.23
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
3
W
09.10.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
23.01.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
0
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
7
2
L
07.03.21
H2H
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
09.08.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
15.02.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
0
W
Last matches: KV Mechelen
18.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
3
0
W
21.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
03.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
0
W
26.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
4
L
12.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
15.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
28.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Zulte Waregem
2
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Genk
2
3
L
08.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Antwerp
2
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Servette FC
2
1
W
27.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Dender
1
1
D
07.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
1
0
W
28.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Standard Liege
0
1
L
09.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
25.10.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
1
1
D
04.10.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
3
L
21.09.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
30.08.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
3
2
W
H2H at home: KV Mechelen
18.04.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
2
L
15.03.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
01.02.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
09.10.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
23.01.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
0
1
L
09.08.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
15.02.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
0
W
Last matches: Anderlecht
23.07.26
UEF
Anderlecht
Hammarby FF
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Anderlecht
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
W
24.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
5
L
10.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
1
1
D
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
08.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Genk
0
2
L
01.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Standard Liege
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
2
4
L
07.01.26
Fri
Anderlecht
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
21.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Antwerp
2
2
D
07.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
0
4
L
23.11.25
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
24.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Charleroi
0
1
L
19.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
2
2
D
26.09.25
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
1
1
D
31.08.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
H2H away: Anderlecht
18.04.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
2
W
15.03.26
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
W
01.02.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
09.10.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
W
23.01.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
0
1
W
09.08.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
15.02.20
H2H
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
0
L

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs