Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
77.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
KuPS
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KuPS
12 matches
Lahti
11 matches
| KuPS | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 13 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 2.14 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 3.44 | Corners | 3.14 |
| 34.7% | Ball Possession | 38.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between KuPS's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lahti. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control.
KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 13 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Lahti are currently 8 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 6:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (2 goals), Neemias Barbosa (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (2 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), D. Heikkinen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 14 times, Lahti won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:10 from KuPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lineups
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
JIPPO
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lausanne
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
Drita
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
KuPS
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
Home
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Away
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|