FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
Referee: J. Hyytia
KuPS
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
B. Armah · Assist: G. Engvall
KuPS
50'
B. Armah · Assist: S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🔄
55'
A. Bjonback ↔ J. Myrevik
FF Jaro
🔄
55'
J. Vikstrom ↔ V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🔄
61'
S. Savolainen ↔ T. Hamalainen
KuPS
🔄
61'
G. Engvall ↔ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS
🔄
61'
N. Kujasalo ↔ V. R. Gasc
KuPS
🔄
66'
B. Magassa ↔ A. Puukko
KuPS
🔄
68'
H. Sjogrell ↔ K. Harden
FF Jaro
🔄
68'
O. Kass Kawo ↔ A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🟨
71'
Jim Myrevik
FF Jaro
🔄
79'
R. Vikstrom ↔ E. Mendy
FF Jaro
🔄
86'
B. Armah ↔ S. Soumahoro
KuPS
86'
V. R. Gasc · Assist: J. Luyeye-Lutumba
KuPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 81.8%
Draw 6.3%
FF Jaro Win 11.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.38
FF Jaro0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
13 GF / 8 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
5
4.63
Shots on Goal
1.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 11 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 12 matches
KuPS Statistic FF Jaro
5 Wins 1
5 Draws 5
1 Losses 6
13 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 20
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
5 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
4.63 Shots On Goal 1.86
10.13 Total Shots 4.86
3.88 Corners 1.86
39% Ball Possession 26.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KuPS's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to FF Jaro in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FF Jaro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KuPS Analysis

Placed 3 with 13 points from 8 outings, KuPS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), B. Armah (2 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), P. Pennanen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

From their first 7 matches, FF Jaro have collected 4 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 4:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (2 goals), L. Weckstrom (1 goals), Michael Ogungbaro (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), M. Pedersen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 6 times, FF Jaro won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from KuPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / FF Jaro 4-4-2
H2H summary: KuPS wins 6, draws 5, FF Jaro wins 4

Lineups

KuPS
Formation
FF Jaro
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
S. Savolainen
S. Savolainen
A. Lotjonen
A. Lotjonen
B. Magassa
B. Magassa
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
N. Kujasalo
N. Kujasalo
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
S. Heiskanen
🎯
S. Heiskanen
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
⚽ 2
B. Armah
G. Engvall
🎯
G. Engvall
S. Vits
S. Vits
A. Bjonback
A. Bjonback
M. Ogungbaro
M. Ogungbaro
E. Gunnarsson
E. Gunnarsson
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
H. Sjogrell
H. Sjogrell
O. Kass Kawo
O. Kass Kawo
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
J. Skau
J. Skau
J. Vikstrom
J. Vikstrom
R. Vikstrom
R. Vikstrom
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
6
S. Savolainen
↓ 61'
D
23
A. Lotjonen
D
28
B. Magassa
↓ 66'
D
25
C. Antwi
D
13
N. Kujasalo
↓ 61'
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
3
S. Heiskanen
🎯 50'
M
34
O. Ruoppi
M
24
B. Armah
⚽ 34' ⚽ 50' ↓ 86'
D
9
G. Engvall
🎯 34' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
33
T. Hamalainen
↑ 61'
D
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
🎯 86' ↑ 61'
F
29
A. Puukko
↑ 66'
4
K. Adams
D
10
V. R. Gasc
⚽ 86' ↑ 61'
M
2
K. Ward
D
32
R. Tikkanen
D
20
S. Soumahoro
↑ 86'
M
FF Jaro 4-5-1
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
5
A. Bjonback
↓ 55'
D
4
M. Ogungbaro
D
3
E. Gunnarsson
D
19
F. O. Ness
D
11
H. Sjogrell
↓ 68'
F
8
O. Kass Kawo
↓ 68'
M
26
M. Pedersen
M
7
J. Skau
M
27
J. Vikstrom
↓ 55'
F
15
R. Vikstrom
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
22
K. Harden
↑ 68'
M
2
F. Kass
D
16
A. Vidjeskog
↑ 68'
M
21
J. Myrevik
↑ 55' 🟨 71'
D
91
V. Vuorinen
↑ 55'
M
17
L. Nyman
M
95
E. Mendy
↑ 79'
F
24
V. Lofs
M
Last matches: KuPS
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
18.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Breidablik
0
0
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H: KuPS vs FF Jaro
20.05.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
22.02.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
4
L
10.09.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
3
W
19.04.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
0
D
09.03.24
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
4
1
W
04.10.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
W
23.09.15
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
05.07.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
3
L
19.09.14
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
3
2
L
02.07.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
19.04.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
4
L
21.08.13
H2H
FF Jaro
KuPS
2
2
D
Last matches: KuPS
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Drita
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
22.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
1
0
W
H2H at home: KuPS
20.05.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
22.02.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
4
L
10.09.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
4
1
W
04.10.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.07.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
3
L
02.07.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
19.04.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
4
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
20.05.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
L
22.02.26
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
4
W
10.09.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
4
1
L
04.10.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
2
0
L
05.07.15
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
3
W
02.07.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
19.04.14
H2H
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
4
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 17:8 9 24
?
2 10 7 0 3 16:8 8 21
?
3
KuPS Home
11 5 5 1 16:10 6 20
?
4 10 4 3 3 13:8 5 15
?
5 9 4 3 2 11:8 3 15
?
6 9 3 4 2 8:7 1 13
?
7 9 3 2 4 12:10 2 11
?
8 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
?
9 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
?
10 10 1 4 5 8:17 -9 7
?
11 9 1 3 5 8:14 -6 6
?
12 9 0 4 5 5:14 -9 4
?