POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
05.09.2026 15:30
Exbud Arena
Referee: Marcin Szczerbowicz, Poland
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
Wisla Krakow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
James Igbekeme
Wisla Krakow
24'
O. Lingr
Korona Kielce
🔄
46'
J. Igbekeme ↔ A. Rodado
Wisla Krakow
🟨
49'
Julius Ertlthaler
Wisla Krakow
🔄
58'
K. Ciszek ↔ K. Matuszewski
Korona Kielce
🔄
58'
M. Fassbender ↔ M. Ameyaw
Korona Kielce
🔄
62'
J. Ertlthaler ↔ M. Carbo
Wisla Krakow
🔄
63'
E. Youan ↔ M. Kuziemka
Wisla Krakow
🔄
67'
O. Lingr ↔ N. Barczak
Korona Kielce
🔄
67'
M. Stepinski ↔ D. Bak
Korona Kielce
🔄
73'
M. Bozic ↔ R. Mikulec
Wisla Krakow
🔄
78'
K. Duda ↔ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
Wisla Krakow
🟨
80'
Wiktor Długosz
Korona Kielce
🟨
80'
Jordi Sánchez
Wisla Krakow
🟨
84'
Víctor Meseguer
Wisla Krakow
🔄
84'
M. Remacle ↔ Nono
Korona Kielce
🟨
90+3'
Slobodan Rubežić
Korona Kielce
90'
A. Uryga · Assist: J. Sanchez
Wisla Krakow

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.5%
2.29
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 66.5%
Draw 8.7%
Wisla Krakow Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.27
Wisla Krakow1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
16 GF / 7 GA
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
WLDWL
31 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.72
0.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
10
3
Over 2.5
10
3.4
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 13 matches
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 18 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic Wisla Krakow
6 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
2 Losses 6
16 Goals For 31
7 Goals Against 24
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
0.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 14
3 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 4
3.4 Shots On Goal 5.67
14.4 Total Shots 16.67
4 Corners 5.17
47.6% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Korona Kielce's more proactive style and Wisla Krakow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wisla Krakow. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 8 points after 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mariusz Stępiński (3 goals), Morgan Fassbender (1 goals), with creative support from Wiktor Długosz (3 assists), Martin Remacle (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Wisla Krakow Analysis

Wisla Krakow sit 8 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jordi Sánchez (3 goals), Marko Božić (1 goals), Ángel Rodado (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Uryga (1 assists), Raoul Giger (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 1 times, Wisla Krakow won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 4-2-3-1 / Wisla Krakow 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 1, draws 2, Wisla Krakow wins 3

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation