HUNGARY › NB I
19.09.2026 15:00
Várkert Sportpálya
Referee: Mario Zimmermann
Kisvarda FC
Match Timeline
Paks
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Esik ↔ H. Szikszai
Kisvarda FC
🔄
46'
M. Gyorfi ↔ M. Simut
Paks
🔄
46'
M. Peto ↔ J. Hahn
Paks
🔄
68'
C. Herc ↔ B. Biro
Kisvarda FC
🔄
68'
T. Yordanov ↔ T. Balogun
Kisvarda FC
⚽
71'
B. Lenzser
Paks
🔄
72'
E. Silye ↔ A. Lapu
Paks
🟨
82'
Zsolt Haraszti
Paks
🔄
83'
Z. Haraszti ↔ J. Windecker
Paks
🔄
86'
K. Nagy ↔ J. Mesanovic
Kisvarda FC
🔄
86'
M. Matanovic ↔ S. Novothny
Kisvarda FC
🔄
90+1'
K. Papp ↔ K. Horvath
Paks

Kisvarda FC vs Paks Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds 3.05
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
3.05 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Kisvarda FC Win 59.1%
Draw 18.2%
Paks Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kisvarda FC1.59
Paks2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 22 GA
Paks Paks
WLDWL
61 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2.65
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
9
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
20
3
Shots on Goal
6.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 17 matches
Paks Paks 23 matches
Kisvarda FC Statistic Paks
6 Wins 8
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
22 Goals For 61
22 Goals Against 47
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 2.65
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
9 BTTS Yes 18
12 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 20
4 Over 3.5 16
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 6.11
13 Total Shots 16.78
4.29 Corners 6
35.4% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paks. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kisvarda FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Paks in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paks having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kisvarda FC Analysis

Kisvarda FC are currently 7 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Herc (3 goals), M. Matanović (2 goals), Ákos Ésik (1 goals), with creative support from D. Soltész (2 assists), M. Matanović (1 assists), T. A. Balogun (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paks Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Paks have collected 8 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Szalai (6 goals), M. Pető (3 goals), J. Windecker (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Haraszti (2 assists), A. Lapu (2 assists), K. Papp (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kisvarda FC won 4 times, Paks won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:31 from Kisvarda FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Kisvarda FC 4-4-2 / Paks 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Kisvarda FC wins 4, draws 3, Paks wins 8

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 4 3 1 16:10 6 15
W W L D W
2 8 5 0 3 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
3 8 4 2 2 17:11 6 14
W W L L W
4 8 4 2 2 17:13 4 14
W D W L D
5 7 3 3 1 11:8 3 12
D D W W W
6
Paks Away
8 3 2 3 16:17 -1 11
W L D W L
7 8 2 3 3 15:14 1 9
L L D W D
8 8 2 3 3 9:10 -1 9
L W D D L
9 8 2 3 3 12:15 -3 9
L W D D D
10 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
D L D L W
11 7 1 3 3 11:14 -3 6
L L W L D
12 8 2 0 6 7:17 -10 6
L W L L L
Play-offs
Relegation