SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Rugby Park
Referee: D. Nicolson
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
T. John-Jules · Assist: J. Hugill
Kilmarnock
28'
J. Hugill · Assist: T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
R. Hatate ↔ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Celtic
🔄
46'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ S. Tounekti
Celtic
🔄
46'
J. Adamu ↔ T. Cvancara
Celtic
56'
S. Tounekti · Assist: K. Tierney
Celtic
🔄
62'
D. Maeda ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
63'
F. Curtis ↔ A. Tshibola
Kilmarnock
64'
B. Nygren
Celtic
🟨
67'
David Watson
Kilmarnock
🟨
70'
Tomáš Čvančara
Celtic
🟨
74'
Callum McGregor
Celtic
🔄
78'
K. Tierney ↔ M. Saracchi
Celtic
🔄
79'
D. Watson ↔ L. Polworth
Kilmarnock
🔄
79'
G. Kiltie ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
🔄
79'
J. Hugill ↔ B. Anderson
Kilmarnock
🔄
82'
T. John-Jules ↔ M. Dackers
Kilmarnock
🟨
90+8'
Julián Araujo
Celtic
90'
J. Araujo
Celtic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Celtic Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.09
Celtic1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
28 GF / 51 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
58 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
15
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
21
3.77
Shots on Goal
5.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 26 matches
Celtic Celtic 35 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Celtic
4 Wins 19
8 Draws 7
14 Losses 9
28 Goals For 58
51 Goals Against 39
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
15 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 8
3.77 Shots On Goal 5.26
10.88 Total Shots 14.74
4.42 Corners 6.69
40.2% Ball Possession 64.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 2 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:43 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-4-2 / Celtic 4-3-3
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 2, draws 1, Celtic wins 12
Stats
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
Celtic Celtic
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Goal 10
7 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 6
12 Shots insidebox 18
5 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Goalkeeper Saves 5
296 Total passes 472
193 Passes accurate 404
0.94 expected_goals 2.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kilmarnock
Formation
Celtic
K. Roos
K. Roos
M. Schjonning-Larsen
M. Schjonning-Larsen
E. Schilte-Brown
E. Schilte-Brown
R. Deas
R. Deas
D. Thompson
D. Thompson
F. Curtis
F. Curtis
B. Lyons
B. Lyons
D. Watson
D. Watson
G. Kiltie
G. Kiltie
T. John-Jules
🎯
T. John-Jules
J. Hugill
🎯
J. Hugill
K. Schmeichel
K. Schmeichel
J. Araujo
J. Araujo
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
L. Scales
L. Scales
K. Tierney
🎯
K. Tierney
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
C. McGregor
C. McGregor
R. Hatate
R. Hatate
Yang Hyun-Jun
Yang Hyun-Jun
J. Adamu
J. Adamu
D. Maeda
D. Maeda
Kilmarnock 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
K. Roos
G
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
6
R. Deas
D
3
D. Thompson
D
52
F. Curtis
↓ 63'
M
8
B. Lyons
M
12
D. Watson
↓ 79' 🟨 67'
M
11
G. Kiltie
↓ 79'
M
24
T. John-Jules
⚽ 21' 🎯 28' ↓ 82'
F
44
J. Hugill
⚽ 28' 🎯 21' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Stryjek
G
2
J. Brandon
D
4
Z. Williams
D
7
R. McKenzie
M
31
L. Polworth
↑ 79'
M
22
J. Thomson
↑ 79'
36
A. Tshibola
↑ 63'
M
19
B. Anderson
↑ 79'
F
9
M. Dackers
↑ 82'
F
Celtic 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
K. Schmeichel
G
22
J. Araujo
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+8'
D
6
A. Trusty
D
5
L. Scales
D
63
K. Tierney
🎯 56' ↓ 78'
D
8
B. Nygren
⚽ 64'
M
42
C. McGregor
🟨 74'
M
41
R. Hatate
↓ 46'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
↓ 46'
F
9
J. Adamu
↓ 46'
F
38
D. Maeda
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
V. Sinisalo
G
51
C. Donovan
D
47
D. Murray
D
36
M. Saracchi
↑ 78'
D
49
J. Forrest
↑ 62'
M
14
L. McCowan
M
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
↑ 46'
M
23
S. Tounekti
⚽ 56' ↑ 46'
F
11
T. Cvancara
↑ 46' 🟨 70'
F
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
Last matches: Celtic
09.08.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
03.08.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Celtic
AC Milan
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Celtic
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
09.11.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
5
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
L
04.08.24
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
L
17.02.24
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
L
14.01.23
H2H
Celtic
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
L
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
L
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
L
Last matches: Celtic
09.08.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
4
2
W
17.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Celtic
Feyenoord
3
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Celtic
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
H2H away: Celtic
09.08.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
W
15.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
W
14.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
5
W
10.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
4
W

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round