Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Boston River
Danubio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Boston River
23 matches
Danubio
23 matches
| Boston River | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 21 | Goals For | 22 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boston River expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Danubio in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Boston River have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 22 points from 22 games and a place of 14, Boston River still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 19:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Danubio have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 22 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 4 times, Danubio won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Boston River's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
CA River Plate
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Rocha
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37:20 | 17 | 47 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 46 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 46 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 44 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 34 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Boston River
Home
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 21:29 | -8 | 28 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18:40 | -22 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Danubio
Away
|
26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
L
|