Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Juventus
Fiorentina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Juventus
48 matches
Fiorentina
51 matches
| Juventus | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 17 |
| 15 | Draws | 14 |
| 9 | Losses | 20 |
| 80 | Goals For | 64 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 69 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 20 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 5.83 | Shots On Goal | 3.94 |
| 16.31 | Total Shots | 13.43 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Juventus's more proactive style and Fiorentina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventus expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fiorentina in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fiorentina having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fiorentina. Juventus arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 68 points compared to Fiorentina in 15 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Juventus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 68 points after 36 matches. With 19 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 59:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Yildiz (10 goals), J. David (6 goals), Andrea Cambiaso (5 goals), with creative support from K. Yildiz (6 assists), Weston McKennie (5 assists), J. David (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Fiorentina sit 15 with 38 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 14 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 38:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Moise Kean (8 goals), R. Mandragora (6 goals), A. Gudmundsson (5 goals), with creative support from A. Gudmundsson (4 assists), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (4 assists), R. Mandragora (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Juventus won 7 times, Fiorentina won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Juventus's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Juventus
Home
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Fiorentina
Away
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|