BRAZIL SERIE B
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Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.9%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 71.9%
Draw 9.4%
Fortaleza EC Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.04
Fortaleza EC0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
22 GF / 12 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
9
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 20 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 20 matches
Juventude Statistic Fortaleza EC
10 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
22 Goals For 23
12 Goals Against 19
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
4 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 7
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.3
12.3 Total Shots 14.05
4.35 Corners 5.6
50.2% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fortaleza EC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortaleza EC.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 35 points after 20 matches. With 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Raí (4 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 34 points after 20 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 23:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 0 times, Fortaleza EC won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:26 from Juventude's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Fortaleza EC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 0, draws 5, Fortaleza EC wins 8
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H: Juventude vs Fortaleza EC
04.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
10.05.25
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
5
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
30.06.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
L
18.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
28.05.22
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
1
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
15.11.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
4
1
L
28.07.18
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
09.10.16
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
1
1
D
03.10.16
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
05.10.25
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
28.07.18
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
03.10.16
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H away: Fortaleza EC
05.10.25
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
W
18.09.22
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
28.07.18
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
3
W
03.10.16
H2H
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
9 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
10 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
11 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
12 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
15 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
16 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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