BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: S. Sampaio
Juventude
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Rai Silva · Assist: Fabio Lima
Juventude
🟨
25'
Artur
America Mineiro
🔄
54'
Alan Kardec ↔ Alisson Safira
Juventude
🔄
60'
Artur ↔ Dalbert
America Mineiro
🔄
60'
M. Segovia ↔ Gabriel Barros
America Mineiro
🔄
60'
F. Elizari ↔ Thauan
America Mineiro
🔄
65'
Fabio Lima ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
65'
Nathan Santos ↔ Aderlan
Juventude
67'
Alisson Safira · Assist: Aderlan
Juventude
🔄
74'
Felipe Amaral ↔ O. Goncalves
America Mineiro
🔄
80'
M. Castro ↔ I. Ly
Juventude
🔄
80'
Rai Silva ↔ C. Junior
Juventude
🟨
81'
Nathan Cardoso
America Mineiro
🔄
81'
Everton Brito ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
90'
Wadson
Juventude

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 86.9%
Draw 5.9%
America Mineiro Win 7.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.12
America Mineiro0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
6 GF / 6 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
6 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.6
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
2
BTTS Yes
6
1
Over 2.5
6
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 10 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 10 matches
Juventude Statistic America Mineiro
3 Wins 0
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
6 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 19
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
2 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 8
1 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 4
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.2
11.1 Total Shots 13.1
4 Corners 6.5
52.1% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Juventude's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 13 points compared to America Mineiro in 20 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America Mineiro. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude are currently 10 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alan Kardec (2 goals), Allanzinho (1 goals), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 20 with 3 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 5:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), F. Elizari (1 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), Paulinho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 2 times, America Mineiro won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Juventude's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 2, draws 3, America Mineiro wins 5
Stats
Juventude Juventude
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
7
5 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 8
9 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 7
12 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 10
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
296 Total passes 508
241 Passes accurate 449
2.06 expected_goals 0.81
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
America Mineiro
Jandrei
Jandrei
Gabriel Pinheiro
Gabriel Pinheiro
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Nathan Santos
Nathan Santos
Rai Silva
Rai Silva
Lucas Mineiro
Lucas Mineiro
Diogo Barbosa
Diogo Barbosa
Fabio Lima
🎯
Fabio Lima
Alan Kardec
Alan Kardec
M. Castro
M. Castro
Gustavo
Gustavo
Leo Alaba
Leo Alaba
Nathan Pelae
Nathan Pelae
Rafa Barcelos
Rafa Barcelos
Artur
Artur
Val Soares
Val Soares
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
M. Segovia
M. Segovia
F. Elizari
F. Elizari
Everton Brito
Everton Brito
Gonzalo Mastriani
Gonzalo Mastriani
Juventude 3-4-3
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
D
4
Messias
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
22
Nathan Santos
↓ 65'
M
75
Rai Silva
⚽ 8' ↓ 80'
M
8
Lucas Mineiro
M
16
Diogo Barbosa
M
11
Fabio Lima
🎯 8' ↓ 65'
F
9
Alan Kardec
↓ 54'
F
17
M. Castro
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
3
Titi
D
27
Ray Breno
6
Wadson
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
D
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
13
Aderlan
🎯 67' ↑ 65'
D
25
Alisson Safira
⚽ 67' ↑ 54'
F
15
Leo Indio
M
10
MP
F
26
I. Ly
↑ 80'
36
K. Costa
D
29
C. Junior
↑ 80'
F
America Mineiro 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
G
22
Leo Alaba
D
3
Nathan Pelae
🟨 81'
D
4
Rafa Barcelos
D
96
Artur
↓ 60' 🟨 25'
D
97
Val Soares
M
8
Felipe Amaral
↓ 74'
M
77
M. Segovia
↓ 60'
M
5
F. Elizari
↓ 60'
M
23
Everton Brito
↓ 81'
M
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
Substitutes
19
William
G
9
Willian Bigode
↑ 81'
F
45
Ricardo Silva
D
29
Dalbert
↑ 60'
D
2
Emerson Santos
D
16
Ale
M
7
Gabriel Barros
↑ 60'
F
11
Thauan
↑ 60'
42
Jhonny
D
55
O. Goncalves
↑ 74'
M
Last matches: Juventude
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
08.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: Juventude vs America Mineiro
30.05.26
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
America Mineiro
Juventude
4
1
L
10.10.21
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
1
1
D
24.06.21
H2H
America Mineiro
Juventude
1
1
D
25.11.20
H2H
America Mineiro
Juventude
2
1
L
17.08.20
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
0
D
01.03.19
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
2
1
W
14.11.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Juventude
1
0
L
28.07.17
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
L
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
30.05.26
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
L
10.10.21
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
1
1
D
17.08.20
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
0
D
01.03.19
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
2
1
W
28.07.17
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
08.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
30.05.26
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
L
06.08.22
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
W
10.10.21
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
1
1
D
17.08.20
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
0
D
01.03.19
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
2
1
L
28.07.17
H2H
Juventude
America Mineiro
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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