Junior vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Junior
Once Caldas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Junior
33 matches
Once Caldas
27 matches
| Junior | Statistic | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 14 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 44 | Goals For | 42 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 5.68 |
| 12.58 | Total Shots | 14.8 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 5.28 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Junior have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Junior expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Once Caldas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Once Caldas having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Once Caldas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Junior approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 31:24 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Guillermo Paiva (1 goals), with creative support from Déiber Caicedo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 31:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Roa (2 goals), Jefry Zapata (2 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Michael Barrios (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Junior won 5 times, Once Caldas won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Junior's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Junior
Home
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Away
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|