COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Romelio Martinez
Referee: Jonnathan Ortiz, Colombia
Junior
Match Timeline
Once Caldas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
C. Barrios
Junior
🟨
42'
P. Gomez
Once Caldas
🔄
46'
B. Castrillon ↔ J. Canchimbo
Junior
🔄
46'
C. Barrios ↔ J. Sarmiento
Junior
🔄
59'
A. Roa ↔ J. Quinones
Once Caldas
🔄
59'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez ↔ M. Zuleta
Once Caldas
🔄
63'
K. Perez ↔ F. Fydriszewski
Junior
🟨
64'
A. Arias
Junior
🟨
66'
J. Rivas
Junior
🔄
71'
J. Rivas ↔ G. Paiva
Junior
🔄
72'
P. Gomez ↔ J. Alvarado
Once Caldas
🔄
76'
E. Torres ↔ D. Moreno
Once Caldas
🔄
76'
M. Barrios ↔ H. Guzman
Once Caldas
79'
D. Moreno · Assist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
Once Caldas
🟨
82'
A. Correa
Once Caldas
🟨
83'
E. Herrera
Junior
🔄
84'
E. Herrera ↔ D. Socarras
Junior
88'
G. Paiva · Assist: D. Socarras
Junior
🟨
90+1'
J. Quinones
Once Caldas
🟨
90+2'
J. Rios
Junior
🟨
90+3'
D. Socarras
Junior
🟨
90+6'
D. Moreno
Once Caldas
🟨
90+6'
A. Colorado
Once Caldas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
1.96
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.92
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Junior Win 56%
Draw 9.9%
Once Caldas Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Junior1.26
Once Caldas1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Junior Junior
WWDLW
44 GF / 42 GA
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WLDWL
42 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
16
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
12
4.09
Shots on Goal
5.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Junior Junior 33 matches
Once Caldas Once Caldas 27 matches
Junior Statistic Once Caldas
14 Wins 9
6 Draws 14
13 Losses 4
44 Goals For 42
42 Goals Against 31
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
16 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 4
4.09 Shots On Goal 5.68
12.58 Total Shots 14.8
4.76 Corners 5.28
50.6% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Junior have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Junior expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Once Caldas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Once Caldas having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Once Caldas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Junior Analysis

Junior approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 31:24 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Guillermo Paiva (1 goals), with creative support from Déiber Caicedo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Once Caldas Analysis

Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 31:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Roa (2 goals), Jefry Zapata (2 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Michael Barrios (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Junior won 6 times, Once Caldas won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Junior's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Junior 4-2-3-1 / Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Junior wins 6, draws 4, Once Caldas wins 5
Stats
Junior Junior
Once Caldas Once Caldas
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
376 Total passes 426
319 Passes accurate 371
1.09 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Junior
Formation
Once Caldas
Mauro Silveira
Mauro Silveira
Edwin Herrera
Edwin Herrera
Daniel Rivera
Daniel Rivera
Pablo Ortíz
Pablo Ortíz
Yeison Suárez
Yeison Suárez
Cristian Barrios
Cristian Barrios
Jesús Rivas
Jesús Rivas
Juan David Ríos
Juan David Ríos
Bryan Castrillón
Bryan Castrillón
Kevin Pérez
Kevin Pérez
Luis Muriel
Luis Muriel
Felipe Parra
Felipe Parra
Juan David Cuesta
🎯
Juan David Cuesta
Jorge Cardona
Jorge Cardona
Daniel Londoño
Daniel Londoño
Andres Correa
Andres Correa
Andres Colorado
Andres Colorado
Edwin Torres
Edwin Torres
Pipe Gómez
Pipe Gómez
Andrés Roa
Andrés Roa
Michael Barrios
Michael Barrios
Jefry Zapata
Jefry Zapata
Junior 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Mauro Silveira
G
3
Edwin Herrera
↓ 84' 🟨 83'
D
5
Daniel Rivera
D
23
Pablo Ortíz
D
26
Yeison Suárez
D
77
Cristian Barrios
↓ 46' 🟨 26'
M
22
Jesús Rivas
↓ 71' 🟨 66'
M
14
Juan David Ríos
🟨 90+2'
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
↓ 46'
M
18
Kevin Pérez
↓ 63'
F
10
Luis Muriel
F
Substitutes
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
↑ 46'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
↑ 46'
F
19
Francisco Fydriszewski
↑ 63'
F
9
Guillermo Paiva
⚽ 88' ↑ 71'
F
34
Daniel Soccaras
🎯 88' ↑ 84' 🟨 90+3'
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
28
Guillermo Celis
M
6
Dilan Villareal
M
Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
99
Felipe Parra
G
22
Juan David Cuesta
🎯 79'
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
30
Daniel Londoño
D
3
Andres Correa
🟨 82'
D
23
Andres Colorado
🟨 90+6'
M
29
Edwin Torres
↓ 76'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
↓ 72' 🟨 42'
M
20
Andrés Roa
↓ 59'
M
7
Michael Barrios
↓ 76'
M
14
Jefry Zapata
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
28
Mateo Zuleta
↑ 59'
M
42
Jader Quinones
↑ 59' 🟨 90+1'
M
15
Jaime Alvarado
↑ 72'
M
17
Dayro Moreno
⚽ 79' ↑ 76' 🟨 90+6'
F
21
Helieyker Guzman
↑ 76'
F
25
Juan Gallego
G
16
Juan Castaño
D
33
Juan Patiño
D
19
Tomas García
M
Last matches: Junior
02.08.26
Pri
Junior
Millonarios
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
03.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
0
0
D
21.05.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
4
3
W
29.04.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Junior
Cucuta
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Junior
Llaneros
2
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Junior
Águilas Doradas
3
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Junior
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
Last matches: Once Caldas
09.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
1
L
03.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
2
2
D
27.07.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
H2H: Junior vs Once Caldas
14.05.26
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
10.05.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
W
12.02.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
13.02.25
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
L
28.11.24
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
12.11.24
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
0
0
D
20.04.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
22.10.23
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
07.05.23
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
2
0
L
08.08.22
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
L
13.02.22
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
1
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
4
2
W
25.01.21
H2H
Once Caldas
Junior
1
2
W
Last matches: Junior
02.08.26
Pri
Junior
Millonarios
0
1
L
03.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
0
0
D
21.05.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
14.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
08.05.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
4
3
W
19.04.26
Pri
Junior
Llaneros
2
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Junior
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Junior
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pri
Junior
America de Cali
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Junior
Chico
3
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
13.12.25
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
05.12.25
Pri
Junior
America de Cali
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
H2H at home: Junior
14.05.26
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
13.02.25
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
22.10.23
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
08.08.22
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
L
22.08.21
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
4
2
W
Last matches: Once Caldas
09.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
03.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
2
2
D
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
11.01.26
Fri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
14.11.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
30.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
0
0
D
19.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
2
L
10.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
H2H away: Once Caldas
14.05.26
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
13.02.25
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
2
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
L
22.10.23
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
L
08.08.22
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
1
2
W
22.08.21
H2H
Junior
Once Caldas
4
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 3.47
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 2.75 2.16
Over 3.0 2.60
Over 3.5 3.24
Over 4.5 6.28
Under 1.5 3.53
Under 2.0 2.74
Under 2.25 2.19
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.30
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.25
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 3.40
Home 1.94
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.49
Draw 2.09
Home 2.51
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.46
Home 2.27
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.13
Over 3.0 2.49
Over 3.25 2.76
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.78
Over 4.0 5.10
Over 4.25 5.49
Over 4.5 5.85
Over 5.0 9.40
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.10
Under 0.75 8.50
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.54
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 3.50
Home 1.93
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.20
Home 2.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.50
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.67
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 2.75 2.16
Over 3.0 2.63
Over 3.25 2.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 3.75 3.95
Over 4.0 5.30
Over 4.25 5.60
Over 4.5 5.80
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.25 2.02
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09