COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Junior Win 65.5%
Draw 9.1%
Millonarios Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Junior1.3
Millonarios1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Junior Junior
WWDLW
44 GF / 41 GA
Millonarios Millonarios
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
12
4.19
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Junior Junior 32 matches
Millonarios Millonarios 24 matches
Junior Statistic Millonarios
14 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
12 Losses 11
44 Goals For 31
41 Goals Against 28
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
16 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 8
4.19 Shots On Goal 5.25
12.75 Total Shots 15.35
4.84 Corners 5.9
50.4% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Junior arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 44 points compared to Millonarios in 10 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millonarios. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Junior expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Millonarios in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millonarios having the stronger overall control.

Junior Analysis

Junior come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 44 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 38:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Millonarios Analysis

So far, Millonarios have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 31:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Junior won 6 times, Millonarios won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Junior's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Junior 4-2-3-1 / Millonarios 4-4-2
H2H summary: Junior wins 6, draws 1, Millonarios wins 8
Last matches: Junior
26.07.26
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
03.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
0
0
D
21.05.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
1
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
4
3
W
29.04.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Junior
Cucuta
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Junior
Llaneros
2
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Junior
Águilas Doradas
3
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Junior
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Junior
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
Last matches: Millonarios
25.07.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Colo Colo
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
1
D
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Fortaleza FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Cucuta
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
5
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Llaneros
2
1
W
11.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
H2H: Junior vs Millonarios
25.01.26
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
1
2
W
24.08.25
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
3
0
L
09.03.25
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
W
07.11.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
0
D
02.06.24
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
2
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
W
17.04.24
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
3
2
L
25.01.24
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
2
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
15.10.23
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
L
30.04.23
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
27.11.22
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
1
0
L
10.11.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
1
L
03.11.22
H2H
Millonarios
Junior
2
0
L
29.09.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
Last matches: Junior
03.06.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Junior
Santa Fe
0
0
D
21.05.26
CON
Junior
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
14.05.26
Pri
Junior
Once Caldas
2
2
D
08.05.26
CON
Junior
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Pasto
4
3
W
19.04.26
Pri
Junior
Llaneros
2
0
W
09.04.26
CON
Junior
Palmeiras
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Junior
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Junior
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Junior
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pri
Junior
America de Cali
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Junior
Chico
3
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
13.12.25
Pri
Junior
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
05.12.25
Pri
Junior
America de Cali
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
Junior
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
20.11.25
Pri
Junior
Independiente Medellin
1
0
W
H2H at home: Junior
09.03.25
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
W
07.11.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
W
19.01.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
30.04.23
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
10.11.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
1
L
29.09.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
W
Last matches: Millonarios
11.07.26
Fri
Millonarios
Universitario
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
America de Cali
1
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Millonarios
Jaguares
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Once Caldas
4
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
18.01.26
Pri
Millonarios
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
12.01.26
Fri
Millonarios
River Plate
0
1
L
13.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Chico
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Millonarios
Envigado
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Santa Fe
1
0
W
15.10.25
Pri
Millonarios
Deportivo Pereira
2
3
L
28.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
0
3
L
30.08.25
Pri
Millonarios
Águilas Doradas
2
1
W
17.08.25
Pri
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
H2H away: Millonarios
09.03.25
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
L
07.11.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
2
1
L
19.01.24
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
L
30.04.23
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
L
10.11.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
0
1
W
29.09.22
H2H
Junior
Millonarios
1
0
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L D L W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L D L D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification