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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
27.10.2026 18:00
Strawberry Arena

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AIK Stockholm Win 34.9%
Draw 5.4%
IF Elfsborg Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
AIK Stockholm1.43
IF Elfsborg1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
WWDLW
54 GF / 62 GA
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WLDWL
48 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
24
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
17
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 33 matches
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 34 matches
AIK Stockholm Statistic IF Elfsborg
12 Wins 15
9 Draws 9
12 Losses 10
54 Goals For 48
62 Goals Against 38
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
24 BTTS Yes 20
28 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 5
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.25
14.08 Total Shots 12.58
5.25 Corners 4.54
54.1% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and AIK Stockholm's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AIK Stockholm have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IF Elfsborg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AIK Stockholm expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

AIK Stockholm Analysis

With 34 points from 24 games and a place of 9, AIK Stockholm still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 38:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Hove (8 goals), L. Carlstrand (5 goals), A. Kouame (4 goals), with creative support from J. Hove (3 assists), Kevin Filling (3 assists), Zadok Yohanna (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 41 points after 24 matches. The return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 37:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Östman (8 goals), M. Kamara (6 goals), A. Zeneli (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kamara (3 assists), J. Magnússon (3 assists), N. Hult (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AIK Stockholm won 5 times, IF Elfsborg won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:26 from AIK Stockholm's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: AIK Stockholm 4-3-3 / IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AIK Stockholm wins 5, draws 4, IF Elfsborg wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 4 3 55:30 25 55
D W W W W
2 24 15 2 7 50:21 29 47
W W L W W
3 24 14 4 6 50:21 29 46
W L W W D
4 24 11 9 4 43:30 13 42
W W W D D
5 24 11 8 5 37:24 13 41
D W W W L
6 24 11 5 8 35:36 -1 38
W L W W L
7 24 11 3 10 38:34 4 36
L W L W D
8 24 10 6 8 34:43 -9 36
D W W W W
9 24 9 7 8 38:42 -4 34
D L L D L
10 24 8 6 10 30:25 5 30
L L W L D
11 24 8 6 10 36:43 -7 30
L W L L W
12 24 5 8 11 28:40 -12 23
L D L D D
13 24 6 4 14 23:38 -15 22
W L L L L
14 24 5 5 14 21:37 -16 20
L D L L W
15 24 4 6 14 29:54 -25 18
W L L L D
16 24 3 5 16 16:45 -29 14
L L W L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation