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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
24.10.2026 01:10

Junior vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Junior Win 79%
Draw 6.4%
Águilas Doradas Win 14.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Junior1.36
Águilas Doradas1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Junior Junior
WWDLW
62 GF / 62 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
39 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
25
BTTS Yes
21
22
Over 2.5
16
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Junior Junior 45 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 33 matches
Junior Statistic Águilas Doradas
16 Wins 11
12 Draws 12
17 Losses 10
62 Goals For 39
62 Goals Against 44
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
25 BTTS Yes 21
36 Over 1.5 26
22 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 8
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.7
13.38 Total Shots 11.91
4.73 Corners 4.55
51.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Junior's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Águilas Doradas. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Junior arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to Águilas Doradas in 12 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Junior Analysis

Junior arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 35 points after 19 matches. The record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Muriel (15 goals), T. Gutiérrez (8 goals), G. Paiva (5 goals), with creative support from G. Paiva (6 assists), Y. Súarez (4 assists), T. Gutiérrez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

So far, Águilas Doradas have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Rivaldo (10 goals), R. Márquez (4 goals), A. Vásquez (4 goals), with creative support from A. Ricaurte (5 assists), E. Arízalas (5 assists), Bryan Urueña (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Junior won 7 times, Águilas Doradas won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Junior's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Junior 4-2-3-1 / Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Junior wins 7, draws 5, Águilas Doradas wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W D L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W W D L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D D W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W L D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W D D W L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W W W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification