BRAZIL SERIE D
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Arena Joinville

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Joinville Win 38.3%
Draw 18.3%
Cianorte Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Joinville0.88
Cianorte0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Joinville Joinville
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
Cianorte Cianorte
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Joinville Joinville 7 matches
Cianorte Cianorte 7 matches
Joinville Statistic Cianorte
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cianorte. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cianorte having the stronger overall control.

Joinville Analysis

Joinville arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 11 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Erverson (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Cianorte Analysis

Cianorte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 12 points after 7 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Carlito Thiago (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Joinville won 1 times, Cianorte won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Joinville's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
H2H summary: Joinville wins 1, draws 2, Cianorte wins 1
Last matches: Joinville
07.06.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
03.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
Last matches: Cianorte
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
3
1
W
H2H: Joinville vs Cianorte
23.05.26
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
W
10.08.25
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
Last matches: Joinville
30.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
0
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
H2H at home: Joinville
23.05.26
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
03.08.25
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
Last matches: Cianorte
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
2
L
27.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Inter De Limeira
0
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Goiatuba EC
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Monte Azul
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
2
2
D
H2H away: Cianorte
23.05.26
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
03.08.25
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D