SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Jarfallavallen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 27.2%
Draw 17.7%
IF Karlstad Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.21
IF Karlstad1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
26 GF / 40 GA
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WLDWL
32 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.52
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 18 matches
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 21 matches
Järfälla Statistic IF Karlstad
4 Wins 12
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 5
26 Goals For 32
40 Goals Against 18
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Järfälla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IF Karlstad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IF Karlstad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Järfälla sit 10 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IF Karlstad having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Järfälla have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 15 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Karlstad Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 14 outings, IF Karlstad continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 0 times, IF Karlstad won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Järfälla's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 0, draws 0, IF Karlstad wins 1
Last matches: Järfälla
01.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
0
4
L
28.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Umeå FC
3
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Arlanda
2
3
L
08.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stocksund
1
6
L
03.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Vasalund
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Gefle IF
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Karlberg
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Enköping
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
FBK Karlstad
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Piteå
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
AFC Eskilstuna
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Enköping
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Järfälla
Assyriska FF
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
2
4
L
Last matches: IF Karlstad
02.08.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Enköping
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Örebro Syrianska
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
13.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
30.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Vasalund
5
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Piteå
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Skövde AIK
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
IK brage
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H: Järfälla vs IF Karlstad
18.04.26
H2H
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
L
Last matches: Järfälla
01.08.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stockholm Internazionale
0
4
L
13.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Arlanda
2
3
L
08.06.26
Ett
Järfälla
Stocksund
1
6
L
23.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Gefle IF
4
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Järfälla
Enköping
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Piteå
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Järfälla
Sollentuna
0
1
L
Last matches: IF Karlstad
27.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
IK brage
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D