COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
29.08.2026 21:25
Estadio Jaraguay
Referee: Andres Rojas, Colombia
Jaguares
Match Timeline
America de Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Renteria · Assist: W. De La Rosa
Jaguares
🟨
20'
Jan Lucumí
America de Cali
🟨
34'
Rafael Bustamante
Jaguares
44'
J. Escobar · Assist: J. Murillo
America de Cali
VAR
45+6'
Jerson Malagón
Jaguares
🟨
45+5'
Marlon Torres
America de Cali
45'
J. Malagon · Assist: R. R. Colpa Bolano
Jaguares
🔄
46'
J. Malagon ↔ J. Lovera
Jaguares
🔄
46'
A. Renteria ↔ D. Lopez
Jaguares
🔄
46'
J. Lucumi ↔ Y. Guzman
America de Cali
🔄
46'
J. Cavadia ↔ R. Carrascal
America de Cali
🔄
46'
D. Valencia ↔ L. Quinones
America de Cali
🟨
48'
Johar Mejía
Jaguares
🟨
58'
Jean Fernandes
America de Cali
VAR
59'
Jhon Murillo
America de Cali
🔄
63'
J. Mejia ↔ Jopito
Jaguares
🔄
63'
W. De La Rosa ↔ J. Maza
Jaguares
🔄
63'
O. Bertel ↔ M. Mina
America de Cali
🟨
68'
Johan Hinestroza
Jaguares
🔄
74'
J. Murillo ↔ K. Angulo
America de Cali
🔄
83'
J. Arcila ↔ C. Cantillo
Jaguares
90'
Y. Guzman
America de Cali

Jaguares vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.6%
1.82
BTTS No
56%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
1.34
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 0-3
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Jaguares Win 27.7%
Draw 6.7%
America de Cali Win 65.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jaguares0.88
America de Cali1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jaguares Jaguares
WWDLW
22 GF / 40 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
45 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
11
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
12
3.46
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jaguares Jaguares 24 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 31 matches
Jaguares Statistic America de Cali
6 Wins 17
4 Draws 6
14 Losses 8
22 Goals For 45
40 Goals Against 25
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 6
3.46 Shots On Goal 4.67
10.67 Total Shots 13.41
3.83 Corners 3.59
43.3% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by America de Cali's more proactive style and Jaguares's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America de Cali. America de Cali carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Jaguares sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jaguares expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America de Cali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. America de Cali look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Jaguares Analysis

Jaguares approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Darwin Lopez (1 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cantillo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

America de Cali Analysis

America de Cali approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 33 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 25:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Yeison Guzmán (4 goals), Dany Rosero (3 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (3 assists), Luis Quiñones (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares won 1 times, America de Cali won 5 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Jaguares's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Jaguares 4-2-3-1 / America de Cali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Jaguares wins 1, draws 9, America de Cali wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification