Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.7%
|
2.15 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.66 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Merlo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ituzaingó
31 matches
Deportivo Merlo
30 matches
| Ituzaingó | Statistic | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 20 | Losses | 10 |
| 19 | Goals For | 33 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Merlo having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Merlo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 37 points while Ituzaingó sit 22 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Merlo. Ituzaingó have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Ituzaingó approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 12 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 9 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 18:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Deportivo Merlo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 37 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 33:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ituzaingó won 2 times, Deportivo Merlo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Ituzaingó's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Ituzaingó
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Camioneros
Ituzaingó
Talleres Remedios
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
San Martín Burzaco
Ituzaingó
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Armenio
Ituzaingó
Liniers
Ituzaingó
Flandria
Ituzaingó
Real Pilar
Ituzaingó
Argentino Quilmes
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
UAI Urquiza
Ituzaingó
Defensores Unidos
Ituzaingó
Villa Dalmine
Ituzaingó
Comunicaciones
Ituzaingó
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
Talleres Remedios
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
Flandria
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
Comunicaciones
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Camioneros
Ituzaingó
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
San Martín Burzaco
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
Liniers
Ituzaingó
Real Pilar
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Laferrere
Ituzaingó
UAI Urquiza
Ituzaingó
Villa Dalmine
Ituzaingó
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
Arsenal Sarandi
Ituzaingó
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
Talleres Remedios
Ituzaingó
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Armenio
Ituzaingó
Dock Sud
Ituzaingó
Acassuso
Ituzaingó
Fénix
Ituzaingó
San Miguel
Ituzaingó
Colegiales
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
Talleres Remedios
Deportivo Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
Flandria
Deportivo Merlo
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 56 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33:15 | 18 | 56 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 55 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 55 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 53 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 52 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 45 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:30 | 0 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Deportivo Merlo
Away
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33:45 | -12 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21:30 | -9 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 27 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 26 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 |
Ituzaingó
Home
|
30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|