BRAZIL SERIE A
06.09.2026 19:00
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil
Internacional
Match Timeline
Santos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Benjamín Rollheiser
Santos
8'
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
VAR
27'
Matheus Bahia
Internacional
🟥
28'
Matheus Bahia
Internacional
29'
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
39'
C. Oliva · Assist: B. Rollheiser
Santos
🔄
46'
A. Sanabria ↔ B. Aguirre
Internacional
49'
B. Aguirre · Assist: Thiago Maia
Internacional
🔄
55'
G. Caballero ↔ Arthur Melo
Santos
🟨
59'
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
🔄
62'
Thiago Maia ↔ Paulinho Paula
Internacional
🟨
65'
Ronaldo
Internacional
🟨
69'
Vitinho
Internacional
🟨
69'
Paulinho Paula
Internacional
🟨
69'
Gustavinho
Santos
🟨
69'
Gonzalo Escobar
Santos
🔄
75'
Alan Patrick ↔ Bruno Henrique
Internacional
🔄
75'
Ronaldo ↔ R. Villagra
Internacional
🟨
78'
Braian Aguirre
Internacional
🔄
78'
Gabriel Barbosa ↔ Thaciano
Santos
🔄
78'
Gabriel Bontempo ↔ Lima
Santos
🔄
83'
B. Rollheiser ↔ Miguelito
Santos
🔄
83'
Gustavo Henrique ↔ Joao Schmidt
Santos
🔄
85'
J. Carbonero ↔ N. Eliasson
Internacional
VAR
88'
Vitinho
Internacional
90'
Bruno Henrique
Internacional

Internacional vs Santos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.1%
1.80
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 37.9%
Draw 24.1%
Santos Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1.2
Santos1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Santos Santos
WLDWL
37 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
14
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
15
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 25 matches
Santos Santos 25 matches
Internacional Statistic Santos
5 Wins 8
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 9
26 Goals For 37
31 Goals Against 36
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
14 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 3
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.92
15.12 Total Shots 13.21
6.32 Corners 5.42
48.6% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Santos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santos having the stronger overall control.

Internacional Analysis

With 25 points from 24 games and a place of 16, Internacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Johan Carbonero (6 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alerrandro (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santos Analysis

Santos sit 14 with 26 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 33:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (8 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 6 times, Santos won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Internacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 3-4-2-1 / Santos 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 6, Santos 4
H2H summary: Internacional wins 6, draws 8, Santos wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B