BRAZIL SERIE A
19.04.2026 14:00
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Internacional
Match Timeline
Mirassol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Alex Muralha
Mirassol
🟨
19'
Lucas Oliveira
Mirassol
22'
Lucas Oliveira · Assist: Alesson
Mirassol
45'
Andre Luis · Assist: Alesson
Mirassol
🔄
46'
B. Aguirre ↔ J. Carbonero
Internacional
🟨
56'
José Aldo
Mirassol
🟨
62'
Walter
Mirassol
🔄
63'
Denilson ↔ Neto Moura
Mirassol
🔄
67'
Vitinho ↔ Bruno Tabata
Internacional
🔄
67'
Paulinho Paula ↔ Alerrandro
Internacional
🔄
70'
Alesson ↔ Carlos Eduardo
Mirassol
🔄
71'
Shaylon ↔ Edson Carioca
Mirassol
🔄
74'
Bruno Gomes ↔ Thiago Maia
Internacional
🔄
81'
Allex ↔ Kayky
Internacional
🔄
81'
Andre Luis ↔ Nathan Fogaca
Mirassol
🔄
81'
Reinaldo ↔ Victor Luis
Mirassol
90'
Alan Patrick · Assist: R. Borre
Internacional

Internacional vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 62%
Draw 18%
Mirassol Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1.09
Mirassol0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Mirassol Mirassol
WLDWL
12 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 11 matches
Mirassol Mirassol 12 matches
Internacional Statistic Mirassol
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
9 Goals For 12
10 Goals Against 18
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.67
14.64 Total Shots 14.67
8.36 Corners 6.25
50.4% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Mirassol seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Mirassol arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mirassol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Internacional arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 13 points compared to Mirassol in 20 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 9:10 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alan Patrick (2 goals), Alerrandro (1 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (1 goals), with creative support from Vitinho (3 assists), J. Carbonero (1 assists), Braian Aguirre (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Bernabei, G. Mercado unavailable.

Mirassol Analysis

With 6 points from 10 games and a place of 20, Mirassol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 11:16, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (3 goals), Nathan Fogaça (2 goals), Negueba (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (2 assists), Shaylon (1 assists), Gabriel Pires (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Eduardo, Igor Carius, Reinaldo unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 0 times, Mirassol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Internacional's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 3-5-2 / Mirassol 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 3, Mirassol 5
H2H summary: Internacional wins 0, draws 1, Mirassol wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 24 14 6 4 48:21 27 48
W L W W D
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 24 6 7 11 27:37 -10 25
D D L L W
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B