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BRAZIL › SERIE A
29.07.2026 22:30
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
Internacional
Match Timeline
Flamengo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
Vitinho
Internacional
🔄
46'
Evertton Araujo ↔ Erick Pulgar
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Léo Pereira ↔ Danilo
Flamengo
🔄
63'
Jorge Carrascal ↔ Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🟨
64'
Vitão
Flamengo
🔄
64'
Alex Sandro ↔ Emerson Royal
Flamengo
🔄
68'
Guillermo Maripán ↔ Jose Juninho
Internacional
🔄
68'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Paulinho Paula
Internacional
⚽
79'
Samuel Lino · Assist: Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🔄
81'
Alan Patrick ↔ Calebe Gonçalves
Internacional
🔄
84'
Rodrigo Villagra ↔ Félix Torres
Internacional
🔄
84'
Johan Carbonero ↔ Alerrandro
Internacional
🔄
84'
Jorginho ↔ Nicolás de la Cruz
Flamengo
🟨
90+5'
Gabriel Mercado
Internacional
🟨
90+7'
Nicolás de la Cruz
Flamengo
🟨
90+4'
Erick Pulgar
Flamengo

Internacional vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 33.1%
Draw 6.4%
Flamengo Win 60.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1
Flamengo1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
57 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
11
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
17
4.75
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 20 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 28 matches
Internacional Statistic Flamengo
5 Wins 18
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 3
22 Goals For 57
26 Goals Against 24
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 26
8 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 2
4.75 Shots On Goal 5.83
15.35 Total Shots 15.5
7.05 Corners 4.58
50.8% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flamengo's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while Internacional sit 14 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flamengo.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 14 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Johan Carbonero (4 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alerrandro (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flamengo Analysis

Placed 2 with 34 points from 17 outings, Flamengo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 31:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedro (10 goals), Samuel Lino (4 goals), Giorgian De Arrascaeta (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (6 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 3 times, Flamengo won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Internacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 4-4-2 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 6, Flamengo 3
H2H summary: Internacional wins 3, draws 6, Flamengo wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B