BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Beira-Rio
Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
Internacional
Match Timeline
Flamengo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Vitinho
Internacional
🔄
46'
Evertton Araujo ↔ Erick Pulgar
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Léo Pereira ↔ Danilo
Flamengo
🔄
63'
Jorge Carrascal ↔ Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🟨
64'
Vitão
Flamengo
🔄
64'
Alex Sandro ↔ Emerson Royal
Flamengo
🔄
68'
Guillermo Maripán ↔ Jose Juninho
Internacional
🔄
68'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Paulinho Paula
Internacional
79'
Samuel Lino · Assist: Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🔄
81'
Alan Patrick ↔ Calebe Gonçalves
Internacional
🔄
84'
Rodrigo Villagra ↔ Félix Torres
Internacional
🔄
84'
Johan Carbonero ↔ Alerrandro
Internacional
🔄
84'
Jorginho ↔ Nicolás de la Cruz
Flamengo
🟨
90+5'
Gabriel Mercado
Internacional
🟨
90+7'
Nicolás de la Cruz
Flamengo
🟨
90+4'
Erick Pulgar
Flamengo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Win 33.1%
Draw 6.4%
Flamengo Win 60.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional1
Flamengo1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Internacional
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
57 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
11
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
17
4.75
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Internacional 20 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 28 matches
Internacional Statistic Flamengo
5 Wins 18
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 3
22 Goals For 57
26 Goals Against 24
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 26
8 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 2
4.75 Shots On Goal 5.83
15.35 Total Shots 15.5
7.05 Corners 4.58
50.8% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flamengo's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while Internacional sit 14 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flamengo.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 14 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Johan Carbonero (4 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alerrandro (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flamengo Analysis

Placed 2 with 34 points from 17 outings, Flamengo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 31:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedro (10 goals), Samuel Lino (4 goals), Giorgian De Arrascaeta (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (6 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Internacional 4-4-2 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Internacional 6, Flamengo 3
Stats
Internacional Internacional
Flamengo Flamengo
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
27% Ball Possession 73%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
259 Total passes 705
198 Passes accurate 645
1.38 expected_goals 1.45
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Internacional
Formation
Flamengo
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha
Bruno Gomes
Bruno Gomes
Gabriel Mercado
Gabriel Mercado
Guillermo Maripán
Guillermo Maripán
Vitinho
Vitinho
Rodrigo Villagra
Rodrigo Villagra
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
Matheus Bahia
Matheus Bahia
Johan Carbonero
Johan Carbonero
Alexandro Bernabei
Alexandro Bernabei
Alan Patrick
Alan Patrick
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi
Guillermo Varela
Guillermo Varela
Vitão
Vitão
Léo Pereira
Léo Pereira
Alex Sandro
Alex Sandro
Evertton Araujo
Evertton Araujo
Jorginho
Jorginho
Jorge Carrascal
Jorge Carrascal
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
Pedro
Pedro
Internacional 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
Matheus Cunha
G
15
Bruno Gomes
D
25
Gabriel Mercado
🟨 90+5'
D
3
Guillermo Maripán
↓ 68'
D
28
Vitinho
⚽ 27'
M
5
Rodrigo Villagra
↓ 84'
M
8
Bruno Henrique
↓ 68'
M
6
Matheus Bahia
M
7
Johan Carbonero
↓ 84'
F
26
Alexandro Bernabei
F
10
Alan Patrick
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
18
Jose Juninho
↑ 68'
D
27
Paulinho Paula
↑ 68'
M
30
Calebe Gonçalves
↑ 81'
M
4
Félix Torres
↑ 84'
D
9
Alerrandro
↑ 84'
F
12
Anthoni
G
46
Pedro Kauã
D
53
Luiz Felipe
D
31
Allex
M
14
Alan Rodríguez
M
52
Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da Silva
M
49
João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo
F
Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Agustín Rossi
G
2
Guillermo Varela
D
44
Vitão
🟨 64'
D
4
Léo Pereira
↓ 46'
D
26
Alex Sandro
↓ 64'
D
52
Evertton Araujo
↓ 46'
M
21
Jorginho
↓ 84'
M
15
Jorge Carrascal
↓ 63'
M
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
M
16
Samuel Lino
⚽ 79'
M
9
Pedro
F
Substitutes
13
Danilo
↑ 46'
D
5
Erick Pulgar
↑ 46' 🟨 90+4'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
🎯 79' ↑ 63'
F
22
Emerson Royal
↑ 64'
D
18
Nicolás de la Cruz
↑ 84' 🟨 90+7'
M
42
Andrew
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
8
Saúl Ñíguez
M
11
Everton
F
99
Lorran
M
64
Wallace Yan
F
Last matches: Internacional
22.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
0
0
D
25.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
Last matches: Flamengo
22.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
20.08.26
CON
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
16.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Mirassol
5
1
W
13.08.26
CON
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Olimpia
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
Last matches: Internacional
22.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.08.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
28.01.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
Last matches: Flamengo
22.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
16.08.26
Ser
Flamengo
Mirassol
5
1
W
13.08.26
CON
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Botafogo
3
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vitoria
2
1
W
29.01.26
Ser
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
2
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 44:20 24 51
W L D W L
2 23 13 6 4 45:21 24 45
L W W D D
3 23 12 5 6 31:20 11 41
D W D W W
4 24 11 8 5 36:29 7 41
W W D D D
5 24 11 6 7 34:33 1 39
W W W W L
6 24 9 10 5 34:28 6 37
W D D D D
7 23 10 5 8 28:23 5 35
W D L D D
8 23 9 6 8 30:27 3 33
D W D W D
9 23 8 8 7 25:22 3 32
L W D D W
10 23 8 7 8 28:30 -2 31
D W L D L
11 22 8 6 8 35:34 1 30
L D W D W
12 24 8 5 11 23:35 -12 29
L W L L L
13 22 7 6 9 27:26 1 27
D L D L L
14 22 6 7 9 32:35 -3 25
W L D L W
15 23 6 7 10 24:31 -7 25
L L W D L
16 24 5 10 9 24:28 -4 25
D D D D L
17 22 6 5 11 25:35 -10 23
L L W D W
18 24 5 8 11 28:39 -11 23
L D D L W
19 23 5 7 11 24:38 -14 22
L L D D L
20 22 1 8 13 23:46 -23 11
D L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Internacional 6 missing
-
S. Rochet
Questionable Lower Back Injury
OUT
-
Victor Gabriel
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
B. Arhin
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Thiago Maia
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Joao Victor
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Kayky
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Flamengo 3 missing
-
Lucas Paqueta
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Luiz Araujo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Plata
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT