COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional de Bogota Win 81.1%
Draw 7.6%
Jaguares Win 11.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota1.46
Jaguares1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WWDLW
29 GF / 37 GA
Jaguares Jaguares
WLDWL
20 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
14
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
10
4.68
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 23 matches
Jaguares Jaguares 20 matches
Internacional de Bogota Statistic Jaguares
8 Wins 5
7 Draws 3
8 Losses 12
29 Goals For 20
37 Goals Against 35
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
14 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
4.68 Shots On Goal 3.35
13.27 Total Shots 10.85
4.45 Corners 3.95
46% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Jaguares. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Internacional de Bogota arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 28 points compared to Jaguares in 16 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional de Bogota expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Jaguares in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jaguares having the stronger overall control.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

With 28 points from 19 games and a place of 8, Internacional de Bogota still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 26:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jaguares Analysis

Jaguares approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 8 times, Jaguares won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Internacional de Bogota 4-4-2 / Jaguares 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Internacional de Bogota wins 8, draws 4, Jaguares wins 3
Last matches: Internacional de Bogota
26.07.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
0
2
L
12.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
7
L
09.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Chico
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Junior
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
18.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Águilas Doradas
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Millonarios
3
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
02.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
29.01.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
3
2
W
Last matches: Jaguares
25.07.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Millonarios
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
23.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Llaneros
0
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Junior
0
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Santa Fe
3
1
W
12.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
0
5
L
09.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
29.01.26
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
L
18.01.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
H2H: Internacional de Bogota vs Jaguares
29.01.26
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
W
23.07.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
27.01.24
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
25.09.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
08.10.22
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
17.04.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
05.09.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
18.02.21
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
L
25.09.20
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
L
24.10.19
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
01.05.19
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
27.07.18
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
11.02.18
H2H
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
L
19.07.17
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
1
W
Last matches: Internacional de Bogota
26.07.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Chico
4
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Junior
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Millonarios
3
2
W
12.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
23.01.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Cucuta
2
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
1
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
4
0
W
29.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FC
0
1
L
20.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
0
4
L
31.08.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
2
1
W
01.08.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
H2H at home: Internacional de Bogota
23.07.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
25.09.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
17.04.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
05.09.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
24.10.19
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
27.07.18
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
W
19.07.17
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
1
W
Last matches: Jaguares
25.07.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
07.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
19.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
L
09.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Llaneros
0
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
0
3
L
12.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
0
5
L
01.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
19.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
4
1
W
11.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
2
D
31.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Huila
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Patriotas
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
1
W
05.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Leones FC
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Jaguares
Tigres FC
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Jaguares
Depor FC
1
0
W
26.07.25
Pri
Jaguares
Orsomarso
0
1
L
H2H away: Jaguares
23.07.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
L
25.09.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
L
17.04.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
L
05.09.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
L
24.10.19
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
L
27.07.18
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
0
L
19.07.17
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
2
1
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L D L W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L D L D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification