🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.05.2026 22:00
Nu Stadium
Referee: D. Fischer
Inter Miami
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
L. Messi · Assist: T. Segovia
Inter Miami
🟨
41'
Rodrigo De Paul
Inter Miami
⚽
42'
G. Berterame · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
🔄
46'
I. Fray ↔ F. Mura
Inter Miami
🔄
46'
D. Chara ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🟨
58'
Telasco Segovia
Inter Miami
🟨
65'
David Pereira Da Costa
Portland Timbers
🔄
66'
L. Suarez ↔ D. Pinter
Inter Miami
🔄
67'
K. Miller ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
D. Da Costa ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
82'
Y. Bright ↔ D. Ayala
Inter Miami
🔄
83'
G. Berterame ↔ P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
🔄
86'
Antony ↔ J. Mosquera
Portland Timbers
🔄
86'
K. Kelsy ↔ G. Guerra
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+2'
Finn Surman
Portland Timbers

Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 61.7%
Draw 18.5%
Portland Timbers Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.95
Portland Timbers1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
29 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
11
6.13
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 19 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 17 matches
Inter Miami Statistic Portland Timbers
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
38 Goals For 29
32 Goals Against 32
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
6.13 Shots On Goal 4.17
15 Total Shots 11.58
5.53 Corners 4.25
58.4% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Miami's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Portland Timbers. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 22 points compared to Portland Timbers in 12 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 22 points after 12 matches. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Messi (9 goals), G. Berterame (3 goals), L. Suarez (3 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (5 assists), L. Messi (3 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Portland Timbers Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Portland Timbers have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Kelsy (4 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), A. Lassiter (2 goals), with creative support from C. Bassett (2 assists), K. Kelsy (1 assists), Antony (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 2 times, Portland Timbers won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Inter Miami's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 3-4-3 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Inter Miami 2, Portland Timbers 3
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 2, draws 0, Portland Timbers wins 1

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 26 12 10 4 63:48 15 46
D D D D W
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)