Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsIndependiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
59.8%
|
1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.29 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
13.00 |
Independiente Medellin
Once Caldas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente Medellin
43 matches
Once Caldas
36 matches
| Independiente Medellin | Statistic | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 16 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 62 | Goals For | 50 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 5.68 |
| 13.59 | Total Shots | 14.97 |
| 4.9 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Once Caldas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Independiente Medellin sit 11 with 26 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Montaño (7 goals), J. Medina (3 goals), Y. González (2 goals), with creative support from J. Montaño (4 assists), F. Fabra (3 assists), Y. González (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 31:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Moreno (13 goals), J. Zapata (12 goals), Pipe Gómez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Cuesta (8 assists), A. Roa (4 assists), A. Correa (4 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, Once Caldas won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Once Caldas
Away
|
19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
D
L
L
D
|