Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente Medellin
33 matches
Cucuta
24 matches
| Independiente Medellin | Statistic | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 48 | Goals For | 26 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 13.55 | Total Shots | 9.22 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independiente Medellin's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente Medellin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 26 points compared to Cucuta in 19 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Independiente Medellin come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cucuta.
From their first 19 matches, Independiente Medellin have collected 26 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:24 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Edwin Montaño (2 goals), Hayen Palacios (1 goals), Jhan Mena (1 goals), with creative support from John Edwin Montaño (1 assists), Hayen Palacios (1 assists), Yony González (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jaime Peralta (1 goals), Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, Cucuta won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:8 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 |
Cucuta
Away
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|