Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ilves
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
12 matches
Gnistan
13 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 24 | Goals For | 15 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.14 |
| 5.88 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 22.1% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Gnistan in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gnistan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 7 matches, Ilves have collected 6 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Stjopin (3 goals), T. Hytonen (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), O. Pettersson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 7 matches, Gnistan have collected 8 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi (5 goals), Joakim Latonen (2 goals), R. Gnanou (1 goals), with creative support from Joakim Latonen (2 assists), Edmund Arko-Mensah (2 assists), A. Craninx (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 6 times, Gnistan won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Ilves's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Ilves
3
3
5
2
1
2
Lineups
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Away
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|