BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello
Iguatu
Match Timeline
Parnahyba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Cremosinho
Parnahyba
33'
Matheus Lima
Iguatu
80'
J. Neto
Iguatu
90'
Jeffinho
Parnahyba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Iguatu Win 79.6%
Draw 0%
Parnahyba Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Iguatu1.38
Parnahyba0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Iguatu Iguatu
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WLDWL
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
4
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Iguatu Iguatu 8 matches
Parnahyba Parnahyba 8 matches
Iguatu Statistic Parnahyba
4 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
0 Losses 4
11 Goals For 8
5 Goals Against 11
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Iguatu's more proactive style and Parnahyba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Iguatu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 15 points compared to Parnahyba in 3 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Parnahyba having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Parnahyba.

Iguatu Analysis

Iguatu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Matheus Lima (4 goals), J. Klaivert (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Parnahyba Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 10 points from 7 games, Parnahyba bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 8:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Junior Barbosa (3 goals), Cremosinho (2 goals), Amilton (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Iguatu won 2 times, Parnahyba won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Iguatu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Iguatu wins 2, draws 1, Parnahyba wins 1
Last matches: Iguatu
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
1
D
30.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
0
W
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
06.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H: Iguatu vs Parnahyba
30.05.26
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
12.04.26
H2H
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
W
06.07.25
H2H
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
3
0
W
Last matches: Iguatu
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
30.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
2
3
L
10.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Iguatu
30.05.26
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
10.05.25
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
3
0
W
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
3
L
26.04.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
0
1
L
H2H away: Parnahyba
30.05.26
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
10.05.25
H2H
Iguatu
Parnahyba
3
0
L

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)