SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
23.08.2026 12:00
Gamla Ullevi
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden
IFK Goteborg
Match Timeline
IF Elfsborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Tobias Heintz
IFK Goteborg
🟨
37'
Simon Olsson
IF Elfsborg
🔄
57'
S. Olsson ↔ S. Hedlund
IF Elfsborg
🟨
58'
Rasmus Wikström
IF Elfsborg
🟨
62'
Julius Beck
IF Elfsborg
63'
S. Larsson
IFK Goteborg
🟨
70'
Hjörtur Hermannsson
IFK Goteborg
🔄
73'
O. Nordvall ↔ A. Sigurpalsson
IF Elfsborg
🔄
82'
T. Heintz ↔ A. Boren
IFK Goteborg
🔄
85'
R. Wikstrom ↔ R. Mohammed
IF Elfsborg
🔄
85'
A. Zeneli ↔ F. Ihler
IF Elfsborg
🔄
88'
A. Bergmark-Wiberg ↔ I. Seidu
IFK Goteborg
90'
L. Ostman
IF Elfsborg

IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Goteborg Win 38.9%
Draw 13.5%
IF Elfsborg Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Goteborg1.48
IF Elfsborg1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
WWDLW
50 GF / 59 GA
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WLDWL
35 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
21
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
13
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg 30 matches
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 26 matches
IFK Goteborg Statistic IF Elfsborg
10 Wins 11
7 Draws 7
13 Losses 8
50 Goals For 35
59 Goals Against 31
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
21 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 21
20 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 4
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.12
13.43 Total Shots 12.24
5.57 Corners 3.88
46.5% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and IFK Goteborg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Goteborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IF Elfsborg. IF Elfsborg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 27 points while IFK Goteborg sit 11 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

IFK Goteborg Analysis

So far, IFK Goteborg have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:35 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Sam Larsson (3 goals), Sebastian Clemmensen (2 goals), David Kruse (1 goals), with creative support from Tobias Heintz (2 assists), Sam Larsson (1 assists), Felix Eriksson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 27 points after 17 outings. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:18, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (3 goals), Julius Magnusson (1 goals), Arbër Zeneli (1 goals), with creative support from Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (2 assists), Julius Magnusson (2 assists), Arbër Zeneli (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IFK Goteborg won 2 times, IF Elfsborg won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from IFK Goteborg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: IFK Goteborg 4-4-2 / IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: IFK Goteborg 3, IF Elfsborg 4
H2H summary: IFK Goteborg wins 2, draws 3, IF Elfsborg wins 10

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation