ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Hasteinsvollur
Referee: T. Thordarson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Match Timeline
Thor Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
B. Gunnarsson ↔ S. Hardarson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
29'
V. Bertomeu
Thor Akureyri
30'
V. Valor · Assist: V. Valor
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
35'
M. Tomic
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
45+4'
A. Linta
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
45'
S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
46'
V. Bertomeu ↔ E. Halldorsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
61'
V. Valgeirsson ↔ O. Sowe
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
61'
R. Hlynsson ↔ A. Vokes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
66'
S. Gunnarsson ↔ A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
66'
A. Hlynsson ↔ F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
71'
B. Hlynsson ↔ P. Helgason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
74'
E. Runarsson ↔ F. Fridriksson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
76'
V. Ottosson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
81'
V. Ottosson ↔ S. Ingason
Thor Akureyri
🟥
82'
B. Brynjolfsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
83'
A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
87'
K. Vazquez
Thor Akureyri
🟨
90+1'
C. Jakobsen
Thor Akureyri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
1.67
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.42
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
6.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win 77.8%
Draw 8.4%
Thor Akureyri Win 13.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.9
Thor Akureyri1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
WWDLW
32 GF / 43 GA
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WLDWL
23 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
2.48
16
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 21 matches
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 21 matches
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Statistic Thor Akureyri
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
11 Losses 13
32 Goals For 23
43 Goals Against 52
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 2.48
16 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Thor Akureyri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. IBV Vestmannaeyjar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Thor Akureyri in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Thor Akureyri having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 19 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 30:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri are currently 12 in the standings with 15 points from 19 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 18:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 4 times, Thor Akureyri won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from IBV Vestmannaeyjar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-2-3-1 / Thor Akureyri 4-3-3
H2H summary: IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins 4, draws 3, Thor Akureyri wins 1

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs