BRAZIL SERIE D
23.05.2026 23:00
Humaitá
Match Timeline
Guaporé
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Will
Guaporé
15'
Watthimen
Guaporé
39'
Watthimen
Guaporé
79'
L. Pessoa
Guaporé

Humaitá vs Guaporé Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Humaitá Win 0%
Draw 0%
Guaporé Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Humaitá0.63
Guaporé2.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Humaitá Humaitá
WWDLW
4 GF / 29 GA
Guaporé Guaporé
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
1.43
4.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
3
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Humaitá Humaitá 7 matches
Guaporé Guaporé 7 matches
Humaitá Statistic Guaporé
0 Wins 4
0 Draws 3
7 Losses 0
4 Goals For 10
29 Goals Against 5
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
4.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
3 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 3
6 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Guaporé's more proactive style and Humaitá's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Humaitá have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guaporé having the stronger overall control. Guaporé carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Humaitá sit 6 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guaporé.

Humaitá Analysis

With 0 points from 7 games and a place of 6, Humaitá still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 4:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Monteiro (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guaporé Analysis

Guaporé approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 15 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Gabriel (4 goals), L. Pessoa (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Humaitá won 0 times, Guaporé won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Humaitá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: Humaitá wins 0, draws 0, Guaporé wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)