GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: M. Petersen
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
1. FC Magdeburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
K. Davidsen ↔ S. Schwab
Holstein Kiel
40'
J. Hugonet · Assist: D. Stalmach
1. FC Magdeburg
45'
D. Stalmach · Assist: A. Nollenberger
1. FC Magdeburg
56'
B. Atik
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
60'
J. Therkelsen ↔ A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
🔄
60'
U. Tohumcu ↔ I. Ugoh
Holstein Kiel
🔄
62'
D. Stalmach ↔ C. Krempicki
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
65'
H. Bockhorn ↔ P. Hercher
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
67'
David Zec
Holstein Kiel
🔄
71'
J. Meffert ↔ N. Niehoff
Holstein Kiel
🔄
71'
I. Nekic ↔ F. Roslyng
Holstein Kiel
🟨
81'
Adrián Kaprálik
Holstein Kiel
🟨
81'
Falko Michel
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
83'
M. Zukowski ↔ A. Holmstrom
1. FC Magdeburg
🔄
83'
A. Nollenberger ↔ N. Pesch
1. FC Magdeburg
🟨
90'
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
1. FC Magdeburg
90'
A. Kapralik · Assist: A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 70.8%
Draw 5.6%
1. FC Magdeburg Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.49
1. FC Magdeburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
WWDLW
42 GF / 43 GA
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
WLDWL
49 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
19
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
17
3.63
Shots on Goal
5.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 32 matches
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 32 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic 1. FC Magdeburg
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 3
13 Losses 18
42 Goals For 49
43 Goals Against 56
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
19 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 11
3.63 Shots On Goal 5.28
12 Total Shots 15.5
4.91 Corners 5.25
51.3% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Magdeburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Holstein Kiel come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Holstein Kiel expected to line up in 4-5-1 and 1. FC Magdeburg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Magdeburg having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Holstein Kiel Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Holstein Kiel have collected 41 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 42:43 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Harres (9 goals), David Zec (6 goals), J. Therkelsen (4 goals), with creative support from Alexander Bernhardsson (8 assists), P. Harres (3 assists), A. Kapralik (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Magdeburg Analysis

With 36 points from 32 games and a place of 14, 1. FC Magdeburg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 49:56, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mateusz Żukowski (17 goals), Barış Atik (5 goals), R. Ghrieb (4 goals), with creative support from Barış Atik (11 assists), Mateusz Żukowski (3 assists), L. Ulrich (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 3 times, 1. FC Magdeburg won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-5-1 / 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 3, draws 6, 1. FC Magdeburg wins 4
Stats
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
10 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 5
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
446 Total passes 306
383 Passes accurate 258
1.12 expected_goals 1.91
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Holstein Kiel
Formation
1. FC Magdeburg
T. Weiner
T. Weiner
L. Rosenboom
L. Rosenboom
I. Nekic
I. Nekic
D. Zec
D. Zec
M. Ivezic
M. Ivezic
A. Kapralik
A. Kapralik
U. Tohumcu
U. Tohumcu
J. Meffert
J. Meffert
K. Davidsen
K. Davidsen
J. Therkelsen
J. Therkelsen
P. Harres
P. Harres
D. Reimann
D. Reimann
H. Bockhorn
H. Bockhorn
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
J. Hugonet
J. Hugonet
L. Musonda
L. Musonda
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
F. Michel
F. Michel
D. Stalmach
🎯
D. Stalmach
A. Nollenberger
🎯
A. Nollenberger
M. Zukowski
M. Zukowski
B. Atik
B. Atik
Holstein Kiel 4-5-1
Starting XI
1
T. Weiner
G
23
L. Rosenboom
D
13
I. Nekic
↓ 71'
D
26
D. Zec
🟨 67'
D
6
M. Ivezic
D
20
A. Kapralik
⚽ 90' 🟨 81'
M
8
U. Tohumcu
↓ 60'
M
28
J. Meffert
↓ 71'
M
15
K. Davidsen
↓ 5'
M
10
J. Therkelsen
↓ 60'
M
19
P. Harres
F
Substitutes
21
J. Krumrey
G
3
M. Komenda
D
11
A. Bernhardsson
🎯 90' ↑ 60'
F
25
M. Muller
F
29
N. Niehoff
↑ 71'
M
49
I. Ugoh
↑ 60'
M
2
F. Roslyng
↑ 71'
D
40
L. Parduzi
D
22
S. Schwab
↑ 5'
M
1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
D. Reimann
G
7
H. Bockhorn
↓ 65'
D
16
M. Mathisen
D
24
J. Hugonet
⚽ 40'
D
19
L. Musonda
D
8
L. Ulrich
M
21
F. Michel
🟨 81'
M
6
D. Stalmach
⚽ 45' 🎯 40' ↓ 62'
M
17
A. Nollenberger
🎯 45' ↓ 83'
F
22
M. Zukowski
↓ 83'
F
23
B. Atik
⚽ 56'
F
Substitutes
40
R. Kampa
G
5
T. Muller
D
11
A. Holmstrom
↑ 83' 🟨 90'
F
13
C. Krempicki
↑ 62'
M
27
P. Hercher
↑ 65'
D
18
R. Tachie
F
9
M. Breunig
F
10
N. Pesch
↑ 83'
F
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
17.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
02.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
0
W
25.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
17.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
10.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
1
W
05.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
22.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
3
2
W
14.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
07.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
0
2
L
28.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
21.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
15.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
08.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
1
3
L
31.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
L
23.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
18.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Ferencvarosi TC
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Servette FC
1
1
D
20.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
13.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
3
3
D
Last matches: 1. FC Magdeburg
17.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
03.05.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
1
0
W
26.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Nürnberg
0
1
L
18.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
0
W
12.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
3
4
L
04.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
VfL Bochum
4
1
W
22.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Preußen Münster
3
1
W
13.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
06.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
01.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1
3
L
21.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Schalke 04
3
5
L
15.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
L
06.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5
4
W
30.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
1
2
L
24.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden
1
2
L
16.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
1. FC Magdeburg
SSV Ulm 1846
4
2
W
06.01.26
Fri
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Winterthur
2
1
W
20.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
2
W
13.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
3
3
D
H2H: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg
09.05.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
L
13.12.25
H2H
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
3
3
D
02.02.24
H2H
FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
3
3
D
20.08.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
11.02.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
3
L
07.08.22
H2H
FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
1
2
W
10.02.19
H2H
FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
1
1
D
03.09.18
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
1
W
25.03.17
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
01.10.16
H2H
FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
1
0
L
20.03.16
H2H
FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
0
1
W
02.10.15
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
0
0
D
Last matches: Holstein Kiel
02.05.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
0
W
17.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
0
W
05.04.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
14.03.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
28.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
15.02.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
31.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
2
L
18.01.26
2.
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
2
0
W
07.01.26
Fri
Holstein Kiel
Servette FC
1
1
D
20.12.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
29.11.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
09.11.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
0
W
25.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
04.10.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
21.09.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC
3
0
W
30.08.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Hannover 96
1
2
L
10.08.25
2.
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
L
H2H at home: Holstein Kiel
09.05.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
L
01.11.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
3
3
D
20.08.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
4
L
11.02.23
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
3
L
03.09.18
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
2
1
W
25.03.17
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
02.10.15
H2H
Holstein Kiel
FC Magdeburg
0
0
D
Last matches: 1. FC Magdeburg
26.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Nürnberg
0
1
L
12.04.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
3
4
L
22.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Preußen Münster
3
1
W
06.03.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
21.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
FC Schalke 04
3
5
L
06.02.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5
4
W
16.01.26
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
0
W
20.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
2
W
07.12.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
2
0
W
22.11.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
02.11.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
19.10.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
27.09.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
0
1
L
12.09.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
L
23.08.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
1
3
L
09.08.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
10.05.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SC Paderborn 07
1
2
L
25.04.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
1
1
D
12.04.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
29.03.25
2.
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
0
0
D
H2H away: 1. FC Magdeburg
09.05.26
H2H
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
1
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L