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22.10.2026 18:30
Tony Bezzina Stadium

Hibernians vs Gzira United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hibernians Win 39.2%
Draw 36%
Gzira United Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernians1.2
Gzira United0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernians Hibernians
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Gzira United Gzira United
WLDWL
6 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernians Hibernians 7 matches
Gzira United Gzira United 10 matches
Hibernians Statistic Gzira United
1 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
6 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 17
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gzira United. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gzira United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Hibernians Analysis

So far, Hibernians have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 6 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gzira United Analysis

Gzira United are currently 11 in the standings with 3 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 4:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernians won 7 times, Gzira United won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:23 from Hibernians's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.2%)
H2H summary: Hibernians wins 7, draws 1, Gzira United wins 7

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:10 5 17
W W L W D
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W D W L
3 7 4 2 1 17:8 9 14
D W L W D
4 7 3 3 1 10:8 2 12
D D L D W
5 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
D W W W D
6 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
D D W W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D D D W W
8 8 3 1 4 9:8 1 10
L L W D L
9 7 1 3 3 6:11 -5 6
D L D L D
10 7 1 2 4 6:11 -5 5
L L D L D
11 7 0 3 4 4:15 -11 3
D D D L L
12 7 0 1 6 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)