NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Asito Stadium
Referee: R. Martens
Heracles
Match Timeline
Groningen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
D. van der Werff
Groningen
17'
T. van Gilst · Assist: M. Benita
Heracles
56'
T. Land · Assist: M. Rente
Groningen
🔄
61'
D. van der Werff ↔ T. Hernes
Groningen
🔄
74'
T. Land ↔ R. Mendes
Groningen
🔄
75'
M. Engels ↔ E. Ahlstrand
Heracles
🔄
76'
T. Bruns ↔ R. Bozinovski
Heracles
🔄
76'
W. Ould Chikh ↔ T. Hamamioglu
Heracles
🔄
85'
M. Benita ↔ J. Wijnreder
Heracles
🟨
87'
Jan Žambůrek
Heracles
🔄
88'
J. Zamburek ↔ S. Blokhuis
Heracles
🔄
89'
Y. Taha ↔ W. Prins
Groningen
🔄
89'
T. van Bergen ↔ J. Dillema
Groningen
🟨
90'
Travis Hernes
Groningen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Heracles Win 6%
Draw 17.9%
Groningen Win 76.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heracles1.15
Groningen1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heracles Heracles
WWDLW
34 GF / 83 GA
Groningen Groningen
WLDWL
47 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
18
3.7
Shots on Goal
5.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heracles Heracles 33 matches
Groningen Groningen 33 matches
Heracles Statistic Groningen
5 Wins 13
4 Draws 6
24 Losses 14
34 Goals For 47
83 Goals Against 44
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 10
16 Failed To Score 7
3.7 Shots On Goal 5.82
11.12 Total Shots 15.88
4.36 Corners 6.27
44.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Groningen's more proactive style and Heracles's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Heracles have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Groningen. Groningen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 45 points while Heracles sit 18 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Heracles Analysis

With 19 points from 33 games and a place of 18, Heracles still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 34:83 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals), L. Kulenovic (5 goals), Damon Mirani (3 goals), with creative support from Ajdin Hrustić (6 assists), W. Ould Chikh (4 assists), L. Kulenovic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Groningen Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Groningen have collected 45 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 47:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Thom van Bergen (9 goals), B. Willumsson (6 goals), Y. Taha (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (9 assists), Thom van Bergen (4 assists), M. Rente (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heracles won 6 times, Groningen won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Heracles's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: Heracles 4-2-3-1 / Groningen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Heracles 7, Groningen 2
H2H summary: Heracles wins 6, draws 2, Groningen wins 6
Stats
Heracles Heracles
Groningen Groningen
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
392 Total passes 354
301 Passes accurate 269
0.64 expected_goals 1.17
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Heracles
Formation
Groningen
T. Jansink
T. Jansink
M. Benita
🎯
M. Benita
M. te Wierik
M. te Wierik
D. Mirani
D. Mirani
D. van der Kust
D. van der Kust
J. Zamburek
J. Zamburek
S. Scheperman
S. Scheperman
T. van Gilst
T. van Gilst
T. Bruns
T. Bruns
W. Ould Chikh
W. Ould Chikh
M. Engels
M. Engels
E. Vaessen
E. Vaessen
M. Rente
🎯
M. Rente
T. Blokzijl
T. Blokzijl
D. Janse
D. Janse
M. Peersman
M. Peersman
D. van der Werff
D. van der Werff
T. de Jonge
T. de Jonge
T. Land
T. Land
J. Schreuders
J. Schreuders
Y. Taha
Y. Taha
T. van Bergen
T. van Bergen
Heracles 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
T. Jansink
G
2
M. Benita
🎯 17' ↓ 85'
D
23
M. te Wierik
D
4
D. Mirani
D
5
D. van der Kust
D
13
J. Zamburek
↓ 88' 🟨 87'
M
32
S. Scheperman
M
17
T. van Gilst
⚽ 17'
M
10
T. Bruns
↓ 76'
M
73
W. Ould Chikh
↓ 76'
M
8
M. Engels
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
30
R. Mantel
G
22
R. Pasveer
G
6
S. Cestic
D
18
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D
20
R. Bozinovski
↑ 76'
M
14
E. Ahlstrand
↑ 75'
M
3
J. Wieckhoff
D
25
L. Zeefuik
F
27
J. Tijink
D
38
J. Wijnreder
↑ 85'
D
39
S. Blokhuis
↑ 88'
M
41
T. Hamamioglu
↑ 76'
F
Groningen 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Vaessen
G
5
M. Rente
🎯 56'
D
3
T. Blokzijl
D
4
D. Janse
D
43
M. Peersman
D
17
D. van der Werff
⚽ 3' ↓ 61'
M
8
T. de Jonge
M
18
T. Land
⚽ 56' ↓ 74'
M
14
J. Schreuders
M
10
Y. Taha
↓ 89'
F
26
T. van Bergen
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Jurjus
G
13
L. Stubljar
G
9
B. Willumsson
F
2
W. Prins
↑ 89'
D
16
T. Mercera
D
44
J. Dillema
↑ 89'
M
48
R. Kelder
D
22
S. Bouland
D
27
R. Mendes
↑ 74'
F
7
T. Hernes
↑ 61' 🟨 90'
M
15
E. van der Laan
D
34
R. Metu
F
Last matches: Heracles
10.05.26
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ere
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ere
Heracles
FC Volendam
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Ajax
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
1
4
L
20.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Excelsior
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
06.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Utrecht
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
0
4
L
14.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NAC Breda
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
01.02.26
Ere
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Feyenoord
2
4
L
18.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Twente
0
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
0
3
L
13.12.25
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
3
4
L
06.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
1
1
D
29.11.25
Ere
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
Last matches: Groningen
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
3
L
25.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
3
1
W
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Heerenveen
2
0
W
10.01.26
Ere
Groningen
NAC Breda
0
0
D
06.01.26
Fri
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
21.12.25
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
13.12.25
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
H2H: Heracles vs Groningen
17.05.26
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
L
29.08.25
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
4
0
L
23.04.25
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
4
1
L
28.01.25
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
1
D
02.08.24
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
2
0
L
24.04.22
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
0
1
W
18.12.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
2
W
30.01.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
0
W
23.12.20
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
0
1
W
01.08.20
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
1
0
L
10.05.20
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
1
2
W
19.01.19
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
3
0
L
21.10.18
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
1
W
27.01.18
H2H
Groningen
Heracles
3
3
D
Last matches: Heracles
26.04.26
Ere
Heracles
FC Volendam
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Ajax
0
3
L
20.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Excelsior
1
1
D
06.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Utrecht
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
14.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NAC Breda
0
1
L
01.02.26
Ere
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
18.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Twente
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
0
3
L
06.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ere
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
4
2
W
02.11.25
Ere
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
8
2
W
19.10.25
Ere
Heracles
Feyenoord
0
7
L
27.09.25
Ere
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ere
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
16.08.25
Ere
Heracles
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
H2H at home: Heracles
17.05.26
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
L
28.01.25
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
2
W
30.01.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
0
W
10.05.20
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
0
0
D
21.10.18
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
1
W
Last matches: Groningen
21.05.26
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Feyenoord
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
Groningen
Telstar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ere
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ere
Groningen
FC Volendam
2
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Groningen
Twente
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
18.01.26
Ere
Groningen
Heerenveen
2
0
W
21.12.25
Ere
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
05.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Excelsior
2
0
W
02.12.25
Ere
Groningen
Ajax
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ere
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
25.10.25
Ere
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
03.10.25
Ere
Groningen
NAC Breda
2
1
W
14.09.25
Ere
Groningen
Utrecht
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ere
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
2
4
L
10.08.25
Ere
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
L
H2H away: Groningen
17.05.26
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
W
28.01.25
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
2
L
30.01.21
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
1
0
L
10.05.20
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
0
0
D
21.10.18
H2H
Heracles
Groningen
4
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L

Missing Players

Heracles 7 missing
-
L. Kulenovic
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
J. Reine-Adelaide
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
F. de Keijzer
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
A. Hrustic
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
I. Mesik
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Y. Borges Sanches
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Unuvar
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Groningen 2 missing
-
S. Resink
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Zawada
Missing Fixture Arm Injury
OUT