Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Heracles
Groningen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heracles
33 matches
Groningen
33 matches
| Heracles | Statistic | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 24 | Losses | 14 |
| 34 | Goals For | 47 |
| 83 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 2.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 5.82 |
| 11.12 | Total Shots | 15.88 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 6.27 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Groningen's more proactive style and Heracles's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Heracles have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Groningen. Groningen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 45 points while Heracles sit 18 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 19 points from 33 games and a place of 18, Heracles still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 34:83 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals), L. Kulenovic (5 goals), Damon Mirani (3 goals), with creative support from Ajdin Hrustić (6 assists), W. Ould Chikh (4 assists), L. Kulenovic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 33 matches, Groningen have collected 45 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 47:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Thom van Bergen (9 goals), B. Willumsson (6 goals), Y. Taha (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (9 assists), Thom van Bergen (4 assists), M. Rente (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heracles won 7 times, Groningen won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Heracles's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Groningen
Away
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Heracles
Home
|
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|