Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Heerenveen
Ajax
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Heerenveen
33 matches
Ajax
41 matches
| Heerenveen | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 16 |
| 8 | Draws | 13 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 57 | Goals For | 70 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.51 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.39 |
| 14.91 | Total Shots | 13.63 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 55.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ajax. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Heerenveen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ajax in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ajax having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
From their first 33 matches, Heerenveen have collected 50 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 57:53 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Trenskow (12 goals), D. Vente (7 goals), L. Nordas (6 goals), with creative support from Joris van Overeem (9 assists), J. Trenskow (5 assists), L. Brouwers (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 55 points from 33 outings, Ajax continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 62:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Godts (17 goals), W. Weghorst (8 goals), D. Klaassen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Godts (12 assists), O. Gloukh (6 assists), Rayane Bounida (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 1 times, Ajax won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:43 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Heerenveen
6
6
6
11
4
6
Lineups
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Telstar
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Twente
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
NAC Breda
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Heracles
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Villarreal
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
Telstar
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Twente
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
Ajax
NAC Breda
Ajax
Heracles
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax
Villarreal
Ajax
Telstar
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Qarabag
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Chelsea
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Marseille
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Away
|
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Heerenveen
Home
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|