WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
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Tynecastle Park
Referee: S. van der Eijk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 6.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
6.06
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
9.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
21.00
Probability Distribution
Heart Of Midlothian Win 57%
Draw 4.2%
Benfica Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heart Of Midlothian1.25
Benfica2.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
22 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
3.14
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 9 matches
Benfica Benfica 7 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Statistic Benfica
4 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
12 Goals For 22
18 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 3.14
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.5
13 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 4
51% Ball Possession 32.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 0 times, Benfica won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Heart Of Midlothian's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Heart Of Midlothian 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heart Of Midlothian wins 0, draws 0, Benfica wins 1
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
09.08.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
4
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Heart Of Midlothian
Benfica
1
6
L
01.08.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
2
L
28.07.26
UEF
Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz
0
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Heart Of Midlothian
Raith Rovers
1
0
W
21.07.26
UEF
Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz
0
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Heart Of Midlothian
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Heart Of Midlothian
Arbroath
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1
3
L
13.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1
0
W
Last matches: Benfica
09.08.26
Pri
Benfica
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
6
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
5
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Benfica
CF Os Belenenses
5
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Villarreal
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Flamengo
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Vitória SC
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
H2H: Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica
06.08.26
H2H
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
6
1
L
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
09.08.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
4
0
W
28.07.26
UEF
Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz
0
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Heart Of Midlothian
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
1
0
W
21.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
4
0
W
26.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
Last matches: Benfica
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
0
W
29.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Ajax
2
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Vitória SC
3
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Benfica
Newcastle
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
0
0
D
30.09.25
UEF
Benfica
Chelsea
0
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.42
Draw 4.89
Home 6.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.81
Draw 2.78
Home 6.01
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.71
Over 3.25 1.96
Over 3.5 2.17
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.5 3.63
Under 1.5 5.33
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 2.75 2.37
Under 3.0 2.09
Under 3.25 1.84
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.44
Draw 4.20
Home 6.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 2.62
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.73
Draw 3.00
Home 5.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.48
Draw 4.88
Home 6.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 2.55
Home 5.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 3.08
Home 5.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.22
Over 3.75 2.40
Over 4.0 2.90
Over 4.25 3.16
Over 4.5 3.44
Over 4.75 4.20
Over 5.0 5.55
Over 5.25 5.84
Over 5.5 6.15
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 1.75 4.80
Under 2.0 4.33
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.51
Under 2.75 2.29
Under 3.0 2.03
Under 3.25 1.89
Under 3.5 1.72
Under 3.75 1.48
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.42
Draw 4.50
Home 6.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 2.60
Home 5.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.71
Draw 3.05
Home 5.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.0 1.19
Over 2.25 1.34
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.0 3.10
Over 4.25 3.40
Over 4.5 3.65
Over 4.75 4.40
Over 5.0 5.75
Over 5.25 6.00
Over 5.5 6.25
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 2.0 4.00
Under 2.25 2.90
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 2.75 2.18
Under 3.0 1.93
Under 3.25 1.71
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.08