SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
23.08.2026 14:30
3Arena
Referee: Victor Wolf, Sweden
Hammarby FF
Match Timeline
Gais
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
V. Lind
Hammarby FF
11'
P. Abraham · Assist: V. Lind
Hammarby FF
🟨
43'
Henry Sletsjoe
Gais
🔄
46'
M. Andersson ↔ O. Pettersson
Gais
🔄
58'
R. Thorkelsson ↔ D. Collander
Gais
🔄
58'
S. Salter ↔ N. Vasic
Gais
🔄
66'
O. Johansson ↔ T. Tekie
Hammarby FF
🔄
71'
R. Niklasson ↔ S. Jorgensen
Gais
🟨
76'
Matteo de Brienne
Gais
🔄
84'
A. Boudri ↔ O. Steinke
Hammarby FF
🔄
84'
P. Abraham ↔ S. Kebbeh
Hammarby FF
🔄
84'
W. Milovanovic ↔ M. Bawa
Gais
🔄
90+2'
F. Winther ↔ W. Renecke
Hammarby FF
🔄
90+2'
M. Madjed ↔ I. Fofana
Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF vs Gais Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hammarby FF Win 66%
Draw 4.5%
Gais Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hammarby FF1.62
Gais1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WWDLW
57 GF / 32 GA
Gais Gais
WLDWL
38 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
6.76
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 28 matches
Gais Gais 28 matches
Hammarby FF Statistic Gais
13 Wins 14
8 Draws 6
7 Losses 8
57 Goals For 38
32 Goals Against 28
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 5
6.76 Shots On Goal 4.89
17 Total Shots 14.84
6 Corners 5.58
52% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hammarby FF come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hammarby FF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gais in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gais having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gais. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hammarby FF Analysis

Hammarby FF come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 30 points after 16 matches. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Paulos Abraham (3 goals), Montader Madjed (3 goals), Victor Lind (1 goals), with creative support from Victor Lind (2 assists), Paulos Abraham (1 assists), Markus Karlsson (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Gais Analysis

So far, Gais have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Henry Sletsjoe (2 goals), Samuel Salter (2 goals), Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson (1 goals), with creative support from Rasmus Niklasson (1 assists), Matteo de Brienne (1 assists), August Wängberg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Hammarby FF won 1 times, Gais won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Hammarby FF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1 / Gais 4-3-3
Missing players: Hammarby FF 2, Gais 7
H2H summary: Hammarby FF wins 1, draws 2, Gais wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10
Gais Away
22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation