Guimaraes
Match Timeline
Rio Ave
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.6%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Guimaraes Win 57.9%
Draw 13.1%
Rio Ave Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guimaraes1.39
Rio Ave1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guimaraes
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
Rio Ave
WLDWL
33 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
13
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
19
4
Shots on Goal
3.97
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guimaraes
30 matches
Rio Ave
30 matches
| Guimaraes | Statistic | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 36 | Goals For | 33 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 13.37 | Total Shots | 10.47 |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guimaraes won 6 times, Rio Ave won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Guimaraes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Guimaraes 4-2-3-1 / Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guimaraes wins 6, draws 5, Rio Ave wins 4
Stats
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
0
0
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Guimaraes
Formation
Rio Ave
Charles Silva
Maga
O. Rivas Viondi
Thiago Balieiro
J. I. Mendes
Beni
D. Sousa
O. Camara
Samu
N. Saviolo
Gustavo
C. Miszta
M. Vrousai
J. Brabec
Gustavo Mancha
N. Abbey
T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi
Diogo Bezerra
O. Pohlmann
D. Spikic
J. Blesa
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
27
Charles Silva
G
2
Maga
D
↓ 58'
4
O. Rivas Viondi
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
🟨 62'
13
J. I. Mendes
D
16
Beni
M
🎯 90'
23
D. Sousa
M
↓ 58'
19
O. Camara
M
↓ 58'
20
Samu
M
⚽ 72'
🟨 80'
48
N. Saviolo
M
↓ 68'
11
Gustavo
F
🎯 72'
↓ 81'
🟨 57'
Substitutes
25
J. Castillo
G
7
N. Oliveira
F
↑ 81'
18
T. Arcanjo
M
↑ 68'
26
R. Abascal
D
17
O. Lebedenko
D
6
M. Mitrovic
M
30
G. Nogueira
M
↑ 58'
66
T. Strata
D
⚽ 90'
↑ 58'
🟨 90+3'
88
M. Nogueira
M
↑ 58'
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Miszta
G
17
M. Vrousai
D
32
J. Brabec
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
🟨 60'
6
N. Abbey
D
↓ 77'
44
T. Nikitscher
M
↓ 77'
🟨 61'
5
A. Ntoi
M
🟨 28'
7
Diogo Bezerra
↓ 86'
80
O. Pohlmann
M
↓ 69'
18
D. Spikic
M
↓ 69'
11
J. Blesa
F
Substitutes
99
E. van der Gouw
G
77
O. Richards
D
↑ 77'
54
G. Liavas
M
8
Ryan Guilherme
M
↑ 69'
20
J. Tome
D
↑ 69'
25
Rafael Lobato
F
↑ 86'
9
T. Monteiro
F
↑ 77'
63
J. Lomboto
D
23
F. Petrasso
D
Last matches: Guimaraes
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
2
4
L
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
0
D
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
13.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
L
H2H: Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
W
16.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
1
L
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
1
1
D
14.05.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
L
27.09.20
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
0
D
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.09.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
1
1
D
14.04.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
1
L
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
W
Last matches: Guimaraes
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
08.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
28.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
3
2
W
H2H at home: Guimaraes
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
W
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
L
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
L
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
L
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
L
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
W
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
W
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
L
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Guimaraes
Home
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Rio Ave
Away
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2