PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: D. Silva
Guimaraes
Match Timeline
Rio Ave
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Andreas Ndoj
Rio Ave
🟨
57'
Gustavo Silva
Guimaraes
🔄
58'
D. Sousa ↔ G. Nogueira
Guimaraes
🔄
58'
Maga ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
🔄
58'
O. Camara ↔ M. Nogueira
Guimaraes
🟨
60'
Gustavo Mancha
Rio Ave
🟨
61'
Tamás Nikitscher
Rio Ave
🟨
62'
Thiago Balieiro
Guimaraes
🔄
68'
N. Saviolo ↔ T. Arcanjo
Guimaraes
🔄
69'
O. Pohlmann ↔ Ryan Guilherme
Rio Ave
🔄
69'
D. Spikic ↔ J. Tome
Rio Ave
72'
Samu · Assist: Gustavo
Guimaraes
🔄
77'
N. Abbey ↔ O. Richards
Rio Ave
🔄
77'
T. Nikitscher ↔ T. Monteiro
Rio Ave
🟨
79'
Diogo Bezerra
Rio Ave
🟨
80'
Samu
Guimaraes
🔄
81'
Gustavo ↔ N. Oliveira
Guimaraes
🔄
86'
Diogo Bezerra ↔ Rafael Lobato
Rio Ave
🟨
90+3'
Tony Strata
Guimaraes
90'
T. Strata · Assist: Beni
Guimaraes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Guimaraes Win 57.9%
Draw 13.1%
Rio Ave Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guimaraes1.39
Rio Ave1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guimaraes Guimaraes
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WLDWL
33 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
13
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
19
4
Shots on Goal
3.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guimaraes Guimaraes 30 matches
Rio Ave Rio Ave 30 matches
Guimaraes Statistic Rio Ave
11 Wins 8
6 Draws 10
13 Losses 12
36 Goals For 33
43 Goals Against 50
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
13 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 19
7 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 11
4 Shots On Goal 3.97
13.37 Total Shots 10.47
4.3 Corners 4.2
50.2% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guimaraes won 6 times, Rio Ave won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Guimaraes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Guimaraes 4-2-3-1 / Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guimaraes wins 6, draws 5, Rio Ave wins 4
Stats
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 0
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
488 Total passes 383
393 Passes accurate 292
1.13 expected_goals 0.59
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Guimaraes
Formation
Rio Ave
Charles Silva
Charles Silva
Maga
Maga
O. Rivas Viondi
O. Rivas Viondi
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro
J. I. Mendes
J. I. Mendes
Beni
🎯
Beni
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
O. Camara
O. Camara
Samu
Samu
N. Saviolo
N. Saviolo
Gustavo
🎯
Gustavo
C. Miszta
C. Miszta
M. Vrousai
M. Vrousai
J. Brabec
J. Brabec
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha
N. Abbey
N. Abbey
T. Nikitscher
T. Nikitscher
A. Ntoi
A. Ntoi
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra
O. Pohlmann
O. Pohlmann
D. Spikic
D. Spikic
J. Blesa
J. Blesa
Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
27
Charles Silva
G
2
Maga
↓ 58'
D
4
O. Rivas Viondi
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
🟨 62'
D
13
J. I. Mendes
D
16
Beni
🎯 90'
M
23
D. Sousa
↓ 58'
M
19
O. Camara
↓ 58'
M
20
Samu
⚽ 72' 🟨 80'
M
48
N. Saviolo
↓ 68'
M
11
Gustavo
🎯 72' ↓ 81' 🟨 57'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Castillo
G
7
N. Oliveira
↑ 81'
F
18
T. Arcanjo
↑ 68'
M
26
R. Abascal
D
17
O. Lebedenko
D
6
M. Mitrovic
M
30
G. Nogueira
↑ 58'
M
66
T. Strata
⚽ 90' ↑ 58' 🟨 90+3'
D
88
M. Nogueira
↑ 58'
M
Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Miszta
G
17
M. Vrousai
D
32
J. Brabec
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
🟨 60'
D
6
N. Abbey
↓ 77'
D
44
T. Nikitscher
↓ 77' 🟨 61'
M
5
A. Ntoi
🟨 28'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
↓ 86'
80
O. Pohlmann
↓ 69'
M
18
D. Spikic
↓ 69'
M
11
J. Blesa
F
Substitutes
99
E. van der Gouw
G
77
O. Richards
↑ 77'
D
54
G. Liavas
M
8
Ryan Guilherme
↑ 69'
M
20
J. Tome
↑ 69'
D
25
Rafael Lobato
↑ 86'
F
9
T. Monteiro
↑ 77'
F
63
J. Lomboto
D
23
F. Petrasso
D
Last matches: Guimaraes
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
2
4
L
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
0
D
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
13.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
L
H2H: Guimaraes vs Rio Ave
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
W
16.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
1
L
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
1
1
D
14.05.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
L
27.09.20
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
0
D
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.09.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
1
1
D
14.04.19
H2H
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
2
1
L
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
W
Last matches: Guimaraes
11.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
08.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
28.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
3
2
W
H2H at home: Guimaraes
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
W
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
L
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
L
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
25.04.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
0
L
23.12.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
L
07.01.23
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
0
0
D
13.02.21
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
3
W
27.01.20
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
2
W
09.12.18
H2H
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
3
2
L

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2