Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
65.5%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.37 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.4%
|
1.38 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guayaquil City FC
33 matches
Leones del Norte
30 matches
| Guayaquil City FC | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 36 | Goals For | 31 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.4 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 8.63 | Total Shots | 12.57 |
| 2.93 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Leones del Norte. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Leones del Norte arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Guayaquil City FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Leones del Norte in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leones del Norte having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 30 matches, Guayaquil City FC have collected 39 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Mero (11 goals), D. Díaz (4 goals), D. Dorregaray (4 goals), with creative support from J. Ayovi (5 assists), E. Mero (3 assists), D. Díaz (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Leones del Norte sit 8 with 39 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Luis Anangonó León (6 goals), D. Pazmiño (3 goals), C. Solano (3 goals), with creative support from R. Arroyo (3 assists), D. Pazmiño (2 assists), O. Pepinos (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 1 times, Leones del Norte won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 9 |
Guayaquil City FC
Home
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|