BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Guarany de Bagé
Match Timeline
Cianorte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Luciano
Cianorte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.2%
-
BTTS No
66.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guarany de Bagé Win 31.1%
Draw 19.8%
Cianorte Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guarany de Bagé0.49
Cianorte1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé
WWDLW
2 GF / 17 GA
Cianorte Cianorte
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.22
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
1
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 9 matches
Cianorte Cianorte 9 matches
Guarany de Bagé Statistic Cianorte
1 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
7 Losses 4
2 Goals For 8
17 Goals Against 8
0.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
1 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cianorte having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cianorte. Cianorte carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Guarany de Bagé sit 6 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Guarany de Bagé have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Guarany de Bagé Analysis

Guarany de Bagé approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 2:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cianorte Analysis

Placed 4 with 13 points from 9 outings, Cianorte continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarany de Bagé won 0 times, Cianorte won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Guarany de Bagé's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
H2H summary: Guarany de Bagé wins 0, draws 0, Cianorte wins 2
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
30.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
1
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
21.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
3
L
15.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
11.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
Last matches: Cianorte
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
3
1
W
H2H: Guarany de Bagé vs Cianorte
07.06.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
L
05.04.26
H2H
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
L
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
24.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
2
1
W
29.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
2
L
11.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
3
3
D
H2H at home: Guarany de Bagé
07.06.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
L
Last matches: Cianorte
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
2
L
27.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Inter De Limeira
0
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Goiatuba EC
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Monte Azul
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
2
2
D
H2H away: Cianorte
07.06.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
W