Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Groningen
32 matches
NEC Nijmegen
32 matches
| Groningen | Statistic | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 15 |
| 6 | Draws | 11 |
| 14 | Losses | 6 |
| 45 | Goals For | 74 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.31 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.78 | Shots On Goal | 6.72 |
| 16.03 | Total Shots | 16.59 |
| 6.31 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Groningen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NEC Nijmegen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NEC Nijmegen having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NEC Nijmegen. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Groningen sit 10 with 42 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, while the 45:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Thom van Bergen (9 goals), B. Willumsson (6 goals), Y. Taha (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (7 assists), Thom van Bergen (4 assists), M. Rente (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Placed 3 with 56 points from 32 outings, NEC Nijmegen continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 15 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 74:50 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Linssen (11 goals), T. Chery (10 goals), K. Ogawa (8 goals), with creative support from B. Linssen (7 assists), Kodai Sano (7 assists), T. Chery (6 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Groningen won 4 times, NEC Nijmegen won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Groningen's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Groningen
7
3
2
4
2
5
Lineups
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
Heracles
Groningen
Excelsior
Groningen
Feyenoord
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Telstar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
FC Volendam
Groningen
Twente
Groningen
Utrecht
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
Heerenveen
Groningen
NAC Breda
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Excelsior
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
Ajax
Groningen
Utrecht
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
NAC Breda
Groningen
Bodo/Glimt
Groningen
FC Volendam
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
Twente
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Feyenoord
Groningen
Telstar
Groningen
Heracles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
Away
|
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Groningen
Home
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|