Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Grobiņa
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Grobiņa
19 matches
Tukums
15 matches
| Grobiņa | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 29 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.93 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Tukums's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tukums. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control.
From their first 12 matches, Grobiņa have collected 11 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 6:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Puzirevskis (3 goals), A. Kholod (1 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), with creative support from A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), D. Dobrecovs (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tukums are currently 6 in the standings with 12 points from 12 matches. The record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Oloko (11 goals), R. Deruzinskis (4 goals), Leoni (3 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), R. Baumanis (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 5 times, Tukums won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:33 from Grobiņa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Lineups
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
Minija
Grobiņa
Banga
Grobiņa
Banga
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Home
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|