LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: K. Ratnieks
Grobiņa
Match Timeline
FS Jelgava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
D. Holoubek
FS Jelgava
🟨
32'
G. Kluskins
Grobiņa
🔄
60'
D. Sirbu ↔ I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
🔄
62'
A. Janovskis ↔ M. Pudil
FS Jelgava
🟨
64'
M. Semesko
FS Jelgava
🔄
72'
A. Kholod ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
🔄
82'
O. Rascevskis ↔ D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa
🟨
87'
J. Krautmanis
Grobiņa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Grobiņa Win 47.4%
Draw 12.1%
FS Jelgava Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grobiņa1.42
FS Jelgava1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WWDLW
20 GF / 30 GA
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WLDWL
13 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
11
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grobiņa Grobiņa 18 matches
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 16 matches
Grobiņa Statistic FS Jelgava
4 Wins 4
7 Draws 2
7 Losses 10
20 Goals For 13
30 Goals Against 30
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
11 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FS Jelgava. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Grobiņa Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 9, Grobiņa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 6:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Puzirevskis (3 goals), A. Kholod (1 goals), D. Druzinins (1 goals), with creative support from A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), D. Dobrecovs (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 11 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Hasek (4 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from J. Novikovs (2 assists), A. Dvorak (1 assists), D. Holoubek (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Grobiņa won 4 times, FS Jelgava won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Grobiņa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Grobiņa - / FS Jelgava 5-4-1
H2H summary: Grobiņa wins 4, draws 3, FS Jelgava wins 6

Lineups

Grobiņa
Formation
FS Jelgava
V. Kudrjavcevs
V. Kudrjavcevs
M. Fjodorovs
M. Fjodorovs
D. Druzinins
D. Druzinins
R. Baravykas
R. Baravykas
J. Krautmanis
J. Krautmanis
G. Kluskins
G. Kluskins
M. Sidorovs
M. Sidorovs
A. Kholod
A. Kholod
D. Sirbu
D. Sirbu
O. Rascevskis
O. Rascevskis
A. Puzirevskis
A. Puzirevskis
A. Dvorak
A. Dvorak
J. Novikovs
J. Novikovs
A. Kangars
A. Kangars
M. Semesko
M. Semesko
L. Prior
L. Prior
A. Janovskis
A. Janovskis
G. Zaleiko
G. Zaleiko
D. Holoubek
D. Holoubek
R. Becers
R. Becers
G. Patika
G. Patika
R. Melkis
R. Melkis
Grobiņa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Kudrjavcevs
23
M. Fjodorovs
3
D. Druzinins
27
R. Baravykas
7
J. Krautmanis
🟨 87'
32
G. Kluskins
🟨 32'
14
M. Sidorovs
9
A. Kholod
↓ 72'
25
D. Sirbu
↓ 60'
11
O. Rascevskis
↓ 82'
99
A. Puzirevskis
Substitutes
12
N. Pincuks
87
J. Ribeiro
19
R. Gaucis
26
A. Molotkovs
8
O. Olatunde-Matthew
13
A. Aruna
↑ 72'
10
D. Dobrecovs
↑ 82'
29
I. Matyushenko
↑ 60'
20
H. Yamada
FS Jelgava 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Dvorak
13
J. Novikovs
4
A. Kangars
3
M. Semesko
🟨 64'
25
L. Prior
7
A. Janovskis
↓ 62'
29
G. Zaleiko
10
D. Holoubek
🟨 27'
9
R. Becers
20
G. Patika
8
R. Melkis
Substitutes
30
S. Belanik
16
T. Leitis
26
A. Butovskis
22
M. Pudil
↑ 62'
21
G. Kacanovs
5
I. Smirnovs
19
A. Petersons
28
A. Deklavs
18
E. Smaukstelis
Last matches: Grobiņa
20.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
29.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
29.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
07.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
7
L
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
13.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Ogre United
1
1
D
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
05.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
1
1
D
21.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
20.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
H2H: Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava
29.06.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
L
11.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
W
29.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
22.06.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
W
29.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
1
0
L
06.03.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
L
23.08.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
2
3
L
16.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
4
2
W
28.04.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
1
L
04.09.22
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
01.05.22
H2H
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
4
0
L
Last matches: Grobiņa
05.07.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
0
D
16.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
2
L
15.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Tukums
3
3
D
02.05.26
Vir
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Riga
0
3
L
09.04.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Super Nova
0
1
L
14.03.26
Vir
Grobiņa
Auda
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Minija
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Grobiņa
Banga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Grobiņa
11.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
06.03.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
23.08.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
2
3
L
16.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
4
2
W
04.09.22
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
Last matches: FS Jelgava
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
0
2
L
H2H away: FS Jelgava
11.05.26
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
29.08.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
3
2
L
06.03.25
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
23.08.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
2
3
W
16.06.24
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
4
2
L
04.09.22
H2H
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
0
0
D

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 2 2 55:16 39 59
W D W W W
2 23 18 4 1 68:20 48 58
W W W D W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W W L D W
5 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
6 23 8 3 12 25:35 -10 27
W L W L L
7 23 6 7 10 24:39 -15 25
L L W W W
8 23 4 8 11 15:35 -20 20
L W L D L
9 23 3 8 12 38:47 -9 17
L L L L L
10 23 3 4 16 21:59 -38 13
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga