Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Gremio
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
17 matches
Corinthians
23 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 19 | Goals For | 23 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.65 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 11.41 | Total Shots | 11.74 |
| 3.88 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Corinthians. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gremio expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Corinthians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control.
Gremio sit 15 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 16:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), Camutanga (1 goals), with creative support from Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 18 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Breno Bidon (2 goals), Matheus Bidu (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (6 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), André Carrillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 0 times, Corinthians won 5 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:18 from Gremio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Gremio
3
9
3
8
4
7
Lineups
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Botafogo
Gremio
Fluminense
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Internacional
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Flamengo
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
Coritiba
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Botafogo
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
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| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
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| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
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|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
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|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
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| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
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| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
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| 10 |
Corinthians
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
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| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
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| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
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| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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